Election Prediction Project

Carlton Trail-Eagle Creek
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:59:46

Constituency Profile


Block, Kelly

Calix, Jasmine

Gibson, Dean

Malo, Rebecca

Payant, Cody

Wright, Glenn


Kelly Block

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



28381.48 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Kelly Block ** 2600464.70%
Glenn Wright 749918.70%
Alexander Slusar 577414.40%
Lynn Wesley Oliphant 9022.20%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 2360.72%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (52.3% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (22.88% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (22.59% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Cypress Hills-Grasslands
   (2.24% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

06/10/19 R.O.
This riding was redistributed to a more rural riding in 2015 and Kelly Block easily held the seat and likely to do the same this year.
14/09/19 A.S.
The de-rurbanization of Saskatchewan's apportionment allowed Kelly Block to duck out of an eternal fighting-off-the-NDP litany and settle into a solid-Con easy chair in '15. No way that's changing now, particularly in a seat whose urban heart is the evangelically-tinged environs of Martensville and Warman--no more Saskatoon heathens to worry about.
20/07/19 Ryan Lamarche
First of all you have the wrong name for the PPC listed here! The man running is Cody Payant! I feel that the PPC is very underestimated in Saskatchewan and I feel rural riding that the Conservatives take for granted will once known vote PPC! On election night once the work is done ridings such as this in the Conservative heartland will go to the PCC or if not a large number of voters will
18/07/19 Laurence Putnam
Kelly Block will be safely re-elected.
19/04/19 Sam
This was one of the two new safe Conservative ridings last time and it should stay that way.
23/02/19 M. Lunn
Rural Saskatchewan has at both provincial and federal level become solidly conservative over the last 15 years so don't see that changing.

Navigate to Canada 2019 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2019 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2019 - Email Webmaster