Election Prediction Project

Prince Albert
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:59:56

Constituency Profile


Day, Kelly

Hjertaas, Estelle

Hoback, Randy

Johnson-Harder, Harmony

Littlepine, Brian

Wall, Kerri


Randy Hoback

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



18916.36 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Randy Hoback ** 1967349.80%
Lon Borgerson 1124428.50%
Gordon Kirkby 783219.80%
Byron Tenkink 7611.90%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 1420.43%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Prince Albert
   (93.54% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (3.43% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River
   (2.39% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (0.64% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

14/09/19 A.S.
To paint Prince Albert as historically reliably-conservative is a bit of a qualified matter--remember that the picture up to 1979 was skewed by Dief and the particular kind of Conservative he was; to a certain extent, it might even be argued that the 1979-93 Hovdebo-Funk NDP interlude was a truer ‘heir’ to the Diefenbaker spirit than what prevailed in the Sask ridings that stayed PC through those years. But in terms of the present, the Cons have soaked up *all* of those dynamics--all the more so under their first Sask national leader since Dief.
14/09/19 R.O.
Randy Hoback has been mp for a while , riding often an ndp target but more than likely to stay cpc .
19/07/19 Laurence Putnam
There are definitely two polarized camps of electors in this riding; those on the left and those on the right - and the city of Prince Albert itself is a hardscrabble place chockablock full of gov't employees and the unemployed who contribute to a significant NDP vote, even in the shadow of Dief the Chief's hometown legacy.
However, outside of only the Hovdebo years in the 80s, this riding as a whole including the smaller towns that surround it, has been reliably conservative/reform/alliance/conservative over time and will remain so. The Sask wing of the NDP being particularly at odds with Singh's leadership will likewise do the NDP candidate here no favours were they hoping to pose a legitimate threat.
17/04/19 Sam
A majority of the riding's electors live in Prince Albert itself, but it isn't enough to offset the Conservative margins in the towns to the east. If it was going to ever go NDP, it would have gone NDP last time.
23/02/19 M. Lunn
NDP has some support in Prince Albert itself, but with how weak they are and the fact they are moving away from the Prairie populist roots to more your downtown socialist latte sipping SJW party, doubt they will even with the city itself. But even if they do, the Tories will run up the margins in the rural portions ensuring they win this.

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