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Calgary Nose Hill
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:03:11
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Askin, Peggy

Grossé, Jocelyn

King, Patrick

Lorencz, Kelly

Rempel, Michelle

Tsang, Josephine


Incumbent:

Michelle Rempel

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

115795
109286

41103
40387

57.99 km²
1996.7/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Michelle Rempel ** 3276060.00%
Robert Prcic 1467126.90%
Bruce Kaufman 48368.90%
Laurie Scheer 13842.50%
Edward Gao 7271.30%
Faizan Butt 1840.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2914369.29%
537712.78%
464611.05%
28386.75%
Other 590.14%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Calgary-Nose Hill
   (65.53% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Calgary Centre-North
   (34.45% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Wild Rose
   (0.02% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


21/10/19 Tony Ducey
24.137.73.188
Rempel will hold this for the CPC, she's a minister if Scheer becomes PM.
18/09/19 R.O.
24.146.17.200
Michelle Remple is one of the better known cpc mp’s , seem likely that she’d keep this one conservative.
16/09/19 A.S.
99.225.32.21
While Rempel acquitted herself well as a next-gen urban Con in Calgary North Centre, Diane Ablonczy's retirement gave her a useful ‘out’ in case Notleymania or some such equivalent trickled up into the federal sphere. So rather than escaping by the skin of her teeth a la Len Webber, she lost only three polls in 2015. And so, now she's a next-gen *suburban* Con (and not so next-gen now that she's less than a year younger than the leader).
24/06/19 Laurence Putnam
96.53.49.70
It remains to be seen whether Michelle Rempel is a future leader of the Conservative Party, but at a minimum she is becoming one of those bright shining stars like a Flora MacDonald or John Crosbie or Sheila Copps; a well known personality in the party, popular with the base. She will easily win re-election this year, probably in much greater numbers, and is most likely the Honourable Member for Calgary-Nosehill for as long as she chooses to be.
17/04/19 Sam
86.139.26.199
Michelle Rempel is a high-profile conservative who will have no trouble holding this.
21/02/19 JW
45.41.168.99
The CPC won 60%+ last time during a downswing election. Not going to loose this seat this time.



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