Election Prediction Project

Peace River-Westlock
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:04:12

Constituency Profile


Nygaard, Peter

Penny, Leslie

Schrader, John

Viersen, Arnold

Villebrun, Jennifer


Arnold Viersen

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



107085.59 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Arnold Viersen 3434269.40%
Cameron Alexis 712714.40%
Chris Brown 636012.80%
Sabrina Lee Levac 12472.50%
Jeremy Sergeew 4430.90%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 6161.65%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Peace River
   (40.88% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (25.8% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Fort McMurray-Athabasca
   (21.29% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Westlock-St. Paul
   (12.03% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

16/09/19 A.S.
This was the only non-Edmonton/Lethbridge Alberta riding where the NDP managed 2nd in 2015, thanks to a high-profile candidate in former FN Chief Cameron Alexis--it's a reason why the electoral map for the riding has some pretty big patches of orange. ‘Big’, of course, does not mean ‘densely settled’; and then there's everything that *isn't* First Nations. Including, in the far north, the most extreme case of North Korean-level Conservative support there is: the Mennonite community of La Crete, which went *96%* CPC (and take away the two centralmost polls, and the remaining six went *99%*)
18/07/19 Laurence Putnam
You know you're sitting pretty as a Conservative candidate when the Liberal and NDP candidates are struggling to crack 10% each.
22/04/19 Sam
All of Northern Alberta is solidly Conservative, I expect Viersen to win with more than 70%.
18/02/19 JW
Rural Aberta riding. Enough said.

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