Election Prediction Project

Red Deer-Lacombe
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:04:20

Constituency Profile


Calkins, Blaine

Palmer, Sarah

Pezzella, Lauren

Rose, Tiffany

Thompson, Laura Lynn


Blaine Calkins

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



6217.91 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Blaine Calkins ** 4359970.70%
Jeff Rock 923515.00%
Doug Hart 705511.40%
Les Kuzyk 17732.90%

2011 Results (redistributed)


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (51.11% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Red Deer
   (48.89% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

25/09/19 R.O.
Somehow Laura Lynn Thompson ended up in this riding after running in the Burnaby South by election . not sure it matters much , perhaps she does better than an average people’s party candidate but riding will still vote conservative .
16/09/19 A.S.
Oh, so *she's* running here for PPC (and in Jim Keegstra's riding, yet). At the other end of the spectrum, the riding also contains the Maskwacis reserves--for all those reasons, don't be surprised if the weaker of Red Deer's CPC ridings gets weaker still. But not ‘losingly’ so.
06/07/19 Laurence Putnam
The PPC's Laura Lynn Thompson, fresh off an 11% showing in the Burnaby South by-election, may even have a reasonable chance of placing second in this riding.
08/04/19 Sam
Red Deer is odd provincially, but the Conservatives will definitely win federally in both Red Deer ridings.
23/02/19 M. Lunn
If the Tories could win this easily in a bad year, they will have no trouble this year, especially considering the anger at Trudeau in Alberta.

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