Election Prediction Project

St. Albert-Edmonton
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:04:22

Constituency Profile


Cecelia, Brigitte

Cooper, Michael

Dunbar, Rob

Fraser, Robert Bruce

Mpulubusi, Kathleen

Springate, Greg


Michael Cooper

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



105.71 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Michael Cooper 2678345.20%
Beatrice Ghettuba 1334322.50%
Brent Rathgeber ** 1165219.70%
Darlene Malayko 660911.20%
Andrea Oldham 8211.40%

2011 Results (redistributed)


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Edmonton-St. Albert
   (99.9% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Westlock-St. Paul
   (0.1% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

21/10/19 Tony Ducey
Michael Cooper is who he is but this is still Alberta and he's Conservative so he'll get in again.
09/10/19 R.O.
There was an interesting race here in 2015 although not that much going on here this year, Michael Cooper has been the mp since 2015 and cpc is polling well ahead in Alberta .
20/09/19 Eddie E
My home riding. Cons won here easily in 2015 even with a liberal wave and a strong independent conservative candidate. This time around expect a 60% plus margin for Cooper, even after he was booted by Scheer from the justice committee for racist questioning. Libs and Greens are pretty much persona non grata in Alberta, the federal NDP have self-imploded, and nothing really stands in the way of an overwhelming Conservative sweep of the province (with the possible exception of Edmonton Center which l’ll comment on shortly).
15/09/19 A.S.
One wonders what the fallout will be from Cooper's ‘Christchurchgate’ controversy--if any; after all, this is Alberta, and if Rob Anders could be eternal, so could anyone. (Though if Cooper's share falls even with no Brent Rathgeber on the ballot, don't say I didn't warn you.)
28/02/19 Sam
Michael Cooper won this seat by nearly 20 points despite a Conservative independent on the ballot. It's hard to say who those votes will go to now, but all of them would have to go Liberal for Cooper to have a chance of losing, which is going to be near-impossible in an exurban riding like this.
02/03/19 Lolitha
Knowing this area it likely remains Conservative barring a surprise.

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