Election Prediction Project

Prince George-Peace River-Northern Rockies
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:10:03

Constituency Profile


Erickson, Mavis

Kendall, Catharine

Luccock, Marcia

Vaillant, Ron

Zimmer, Bob


Bob Zimmer

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



249618.70 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Bob Zimmer ** 2723752.50%
Matt Shaw 1291324.90%
Kathi Dickie 801415.50%
Elizabeth Biggar 26725.20%
W. Todd Keller 5591.10%
Barry Blackman 4640.90%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 4211.07%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Prince George-Peace River
   (98.51% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (1.49% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

22/09/19 R.O.
Conservative friendly part of BC , longtime cpc mp Bob Zimmer should hold onto this one .
19/09/19 A.S.
With the ‘moderation’ of the Fraser Valley in recent years, this now stands even more alone as safest-CPC-riding-in-BC than it once did. Even the Prince George rump doesn’t seem quite as monolithic as its Cariboo counterpart. (Judging from 2015 figures, I’d also monitor Green potential out Valemount way.)
18/07/19 Laurence Putnam
If the Liberals get more than 8,000 votes this time I'll be shocked.
22/06/19 Mark in Mexico
As the Conservatives were losing federally in 2015, they were still winning over half of the vote here. Not even a contest.
19/05/19 Sam
One of the parts of the province where the Conservatives can expect a huge increase in their vote share. The BC part of the Peace Region shares similar views on Trudeau and the resource industry to their rural Albertan Peace neighbours, and so there's only one party for them. Both the Liberals and the NDP should decline, even with John Horgan in government, as this isn't a pro-Horgan area for the same reasons it isn't a pro-Trudeau area (although Horgan is a personable and strong leader compared to Trudeau having his ethics issues.)
03/04/19 Craig
Safest Conservative seat in British Columbia. This is more like Alberta culturally and economically and the pipeline issue is big here. Horgan and Trudeau are both despised in the Peace region as well for their obstructionism on resource development, which is a big strike against both the LPC and NDP.
Provincially, the right wing of the BC Liberals always win big here these days but the BC Conservatives have some of their better results here. As long as environmentalism is big on the left, the CPC will win with a dominating result. Bob Zimmer should easily get the best result for the Conservatives in BC.
20/02/19 Islander
This is a good contender for being the most conservative riding in the province. I don't think much more needs to be explained.

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