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Brampton West
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-06-09 23:55:24
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Chambers, Jermaine

Gill, Gurprit

Khera, Kamal

Ramasamy, Sivakumar

Zia, Rahul Samuel


Incumbent:

Kamal Khera

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

130000
101757

35010
34307

57.92 km²
2244.40/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Kamal Khera ** 2874353.50%
Murarilal Thapliyal 1282423.90%
Navjit Kaur 985518.40%
Jane Davidson 12712.40%
Roger Sampson 5050.90%
Paul Tannahill 3190.60%
Harinderpal Hundal 970.20%
Anjum Malik 690.10%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Kamal Khera 2425655.90%
Ninder Thind 1306830.10%
Adaoma Patterson 540012.40%
Karthika Gobinath 6741.60%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1197742.02%
559419.62%
1028536.08%
4481.57%
Other 2010.71%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Brampton West
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Amarjot Sandhu 1495139.39%
Jagroop Singh 1446138.09%
Vic Dhillon * 701318.47%
Julie Guillemet-Ackerman 9992.63%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1160045.99%
553421.94%
657126.05%
5862.32%
Other 9303.69%


05/09/21 Mizisuga
208.98.222.89
While not to the level I predicted, Jagmeet Singh increased the NDP's vote share in all Brampton ridings, despite it faltering nationally. He was an MPP in Brampton East and his leadership may have increased awareness of the New Democrats in regions with many South Asian residents, like Brampton.
The Liberals will carry all Brampton ridings at current polling numbers. However, I predict the NDP could place a strong second place in several Brampton ridings and pose a realistic threat to the Liberals going forward.
29/07/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Khera being reprimanded on is-this-trip-really-necessary grounds isn't likely to affect her re-electability--but this being newburban-multicultural Brampton, any tardy hometown Jagmeetmania could. Or at least, nothing *but* that could.
09/06/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
The Liberals won this seat with the largest margin of all the Brampton ridings. I anticipate Khera and the Liberals winning it again.



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