Braniff, Michele
	Bruce, Lorne
	Cody, Connie
	May, Bryan
	Segounis, Maggie
Incumbent:
	Bryan May

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			115463 111693 44432 43335 346.97 km² 332.80/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Bryan May **	22903	39.50%
	Sunny Attwal	17409	30.00%
	Scott Hamilton	11177	19.30%
	Michele Braniff	4343	7.50%
	David Haskell	1872	3.20%
	George McMorrow	162	0.30%
	Manuel Couto	76	0.10%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Bryan May	23024	43.20%
	Gary Goodyear **	20613	38.60%
	Bobbi Stewart	7397	13.90%
	Michele Braniff	1723	3.20%
	Lee Sperduti	474	0.90%
	Manuel Couto	108	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		23644	52.74%
		12512	27.91%
		6923	15.44%
		1614	3.60%
Other		134	0.30%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Cambridge    (98.46% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Brant    (1.54% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Belinda Karahalios	17793	36.97%
	Marjorie Knight	15639	32.49%
	Kathryn Mcgarry *	11191	23.25%
	Michele Braniff	3018	6.27%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		15291	38.92%
		12769	32.50%
		8513	21.67%
		2203	5.61%
Other		512	1.30%

	11/09/21	Rt. Hon. Adult 74.193.16.75
This is more of a ‘who wins Cambridge wins the election this year’ case*. Now that the debates are in the books and the post-Labour Day shift has been felt, it's time to take assessment of the landscape: 1. The Tories, NDP, and PPC will have a higher engagement level this year, vs the Grits and Greens (despite the fact that there latter's leader could have picked up 3 seats including nearby Kitchener Centre had her party not been such a culture club. 2. The NDP and Tories have surpassed any organizational expectation, which will give them a small boost on E-Day. 3. The ballot question this year will be ‘character’: Paul, Singh, O'Toole (and hey, even Blanchet in Quebec!) will win votes on this at the expense of the incumbent. Final analysis: Tories pick up Cambridge by about 1000 votes, a sign of them taking roughly 50-55 ridings in Ontario. That said, with the NDP increasing their caucus size, the Liberals will likely govern from 2nd place with NDP and Green support (leaving only the question of whether Trudeau will still be PM by Thanksgiving...gobble gobble!).
	02/09/21	Predictions 70.31.104.47
This one is a LPC-CPC toss up. In theory, O'Toole's more moderate, blue-collar oriented rhetoric should give them the upper hand here, but Bryan May held it with a 9-pt margin in 2019, and the Tory candidate doesn't seem particularly noteworthy this time either. I'd say this is an Ontario bellwether, as in whichever party wins the popular vote in Ontario wins Cambridge.
	25/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Bryan May was first elected here in 2015 and was first time liberals had won the riding since 2000. Had been a relatively safe cpc riding from 06-2011 elections when Gary Goodyear mp. So obviously a riding that swings between the liberals and conservatives federally. Connie Cody is the new conservative candidate this year little early in election to predict this one.
	05/08/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
Cambridge is more working class than other Ontario cities (which works in favour of the CPC and NDP) but also somewhat younger (which works against the CPC). Three way race possible.
	08/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Cambridge isn't *as* working class as it once was; it's increasingly part of the Waterloo Region conurbation/401-corridor symbiosis--which is why the Libs not only grabbed it in '15, but held it on an increased margin in '19 (a far cry from the days when Lib figures were sunk low by Oshawa-style Con/Dipper conventional wisdom). It's a different dynamic from that which has lately sustained the Cons in Brantford to the S--indeed, it's getting to look like 40% is an effective ceiling for Con support in Cambridge (they couldn't even crack it provincially in '18--and the one they elected is now dissident). And the kind of youth demo which might presently be drawn to the NDP might have less to do with old ‘working class’ predilections than current regional campus/tech-hub promiscuous-progressivism (and maybe a layer of priced-out-of-Toronto). I do agree about the energy being 3-way, though.