Coteau, Michael
	De Marco, Peter
	Topp, Simon
	Williams, Penelope
Incumbent:
	Yasmin Ratansi

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			94579 93007 39219 38098 22.76 km² 4155.70/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Yasmin Ratansi **	25295	59.80%
	Michael Ma	10115	23.90%
	Nicholas Thompson	4647	11.00%
	Dan Turcotte	1675	4.00%
	John P. Hendry	562	1.30%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Yasmin Ratansi	24048	57.80%
	Maureen Harquail	12155	29.20%
	Khalid Ahmed	4307	10.40%
	Laura Elizabeth Sanderson	1078	2.60%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		12794	36.37%
		7694	21.87%
		13503	38.39%
		993	2.82%
Other		188	0.53%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Don Valley East    (61.44% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Don Valley West    (38.56% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Michael Coteau *	13012	35.93%
	Denzil Minnan-Wong	11984	33.09%
	Khalid Ahmed	9937	27.44%
	Mark Wong	917	2.53%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		18508	58.73%
		7670	24.34%
		3768	11.96%
		1060	3.36%
Other		507	1.61%

	25/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
This riding has no incumbent as Yasmin Ratansi was forced to sit as an independent and pretty sure she isn’t running again. Although the liberals nominated Michael Coteau a provincial mpp and very well known in Toronto so likely the riding will stay liberal. he held his provincial seat during the 2018 election when liberals won almost nothing in the GTA. Penelope Williams is the new conservative candidate and Simon Topp ndp candidate but neither ran here before or well known.
	16/08/21	BTG 69.159.73.114
This riding went Conservative in the 2011 disaster for the Liberals but is one of the safest Liberals seats in Toronto, so Coteau is a sure winner. You would think that Coteau would be in Cabinet except the Liberals have so many Toronto/GTA MPs, so if it is a majority he might have to wait.
	14/08/21	Hammer 107.181.155.144
The Liberals nominated former Ontario cabinet minister Michael Coteau. Coteau should win by a large margin, and is likely a candidate for a cabinet position should Trudeau form government again.
	11/08/21	PY 99.230.134.135
It'll be indeed be Michael Coteau for the Liberals (https://www.thestar.com/politics/provincial/2021/08/10/former-ontario-ministers-micheal-coteau-and-yasir-naqvi-running-as-liberal-candidates-in-the-next-federal-election.html) and thus I can't see Ratansi running as an independent now. Nothing short of a miraculous performance by Erin O'Toole nationally and the mood of Canadians regarding COVID to drastically change to one of simply muddling through in every respect will it remotely possible for any prospective Conservative candidate to win. In the meantime, I'll gladly bet on the house.
	18/07/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
When it comes to the likelihood of a CPC ‘razor thin win’, look: they got less than 24% in '19. Even if the Libs ran a Joe Shmo and Ratansi ran as an independent, coming up the middle is terribly unlikely given those figures, and even less likely given O'Toole's polling doldrums. Plus, coming up the middle didn't work out last time for the Cons in Markham-Stouffville or Vancouver-Granville--and besides, even as a prospective independent running, Ratansi ain't no Puglaas or Philpott.
	12/07/21	seasaw 99.225.229.135
While this riding under its current boundaries has elected Liberals as long as dirt itself, we still don't know if Ratansi will run as an Independent or not, if she doesn't, then it's a Liberal riding whether the Liberal candidate is Michael Couteau or Joe Shmo, if she does and with a slight surge in CPC support, it might just be enough for the CPC to squeeze a razor thin win
	08/05/21	Chris N 24.36.32.209
If former Ontario cabinet minister wins the Liberal nomination as expected, I anticipate that this seat will stay red.
	05/05/21	Jeremus von Stroheim 23.248.145.246
Given that with the current boundaries they would have held this seat in 2011, I think it's fair to call this for the Liberals.