Bountrogiannis, James
	Clarke, Kevin
	Day, Opa
	Khan, Aslam
	McKay, John
	Spencer, Michelle
	Stefanis, Gus
	Wilson, Carmen
Incumbent:
	John McKay

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			102386 101914 37014 35887 25.96 km² 3944.70/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	John McKay **	26123	61.10%
	Quintus Thuraisingham	9553	22.40%
	Michelle Spencer	4806	11.20%
	Tara McMahon	1220	2.90%
	Jigna Jani	648	1.50%
	Kevin Clarke	112	0.30%
	Gus Stefanis	85	0.20%
	Stephen Abara	70	0.20%
	Kathleen Marie Holding	70	0.20%
	Farhan Alvi	55	0.10%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	John McKay **	25167	60.00%
	Chuck Konkel	11108	26.50%
	Laura Casselman	4720	11.30%
	Kathleen Holding	606	1.40%
	Kevin Clarke	175	0.40%
	Paul Coulbeck	141	0.30%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		11998	34.68%
		9235	26.70%
		12381	35.79%
		770	2.23%
Other		207	0.60%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Scarborough-Guildwood    (88.24% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Scarborough Centre    (11.76% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Mitzie Hunter *	11972	33.34%
	Roshan Nallaratnam	11898	33.14%
	Tom Packwood	9917	27.62%
	Linda Rice	878	2.45%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		16154	50.35%
		8964	27.94%
		5448	16.98%
		902	2.81%
Other		614	1.91%

	24/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Long time liberal riding in Toronto . held by John Mckay since 97 , kind of surprised he decided to run again though. Likely to hold the seat one more time.
	28/07/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
What enhances that element of epic Liberal resilience is the Islamic communities around Markham & Lawrence (they enabled McKay to hold on in '11, and Mitzie Hunter provincially in '18). And as w/Scarborough Centre, under the present climate a CPC-NDP battle for second couldn't be ruled out.
	09/07/21	Chris N 24.36.32.209
This is one of the safest Liberal ridings in the country. So safe that McKay was able to hold onto Scarborough Guildwood during the Liberal Ignatieff collapse of 2011.
	05/05/21	JW 45.41.168.96
CPC won over 80% in most rural Aberta ridings last time.