Bhakoo, Bhavni
	Brenot, Sabrina
	Brown, Andrew
	Buhler, Jamie
	Gazan, Leah
	Ong, Paul
	Wall, Debra
Incumbent:
	Leah Gazan

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			85949 82026 41305 37178 28.45 km² 3021.00/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Leah Gazan	13073	41.20%
	Robert-Falcon Ouellette **	10704	33.70%
	Ryan Dyck	5561	17.50%
	Andrea Shalay	1661	5.20%
	Yogi Henderson	474	1.50%
	Stephanie Hein	251	0.80%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Robert-Falcon Ouellette	18471	54.50%
	Pat Martin **	9490	28.00%
	Allie Szarkiewicz	4189	12.40%
	Don Woodstock	1379	4.10%
	Scott Miller	221	0.70%
	Darrell Rankin	135	0.40%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		7173	27.64%
		13928	53.66%
		2872	11.07%
		1830	7.05%
Other		152	0.59%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Winnipeg Centre    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	10/09/21	Jake H. 45.72.226.17
Gazan beat the Liberal incumbent Oulette handily in 2019. Running again, Gazan has the advantage of already holding the seat plus another downturn in the polls for the Liberals. It won't be a crushing defeat for them, but this is a safe NDP hold.
	09/09/21	DSquared 142.161.83.194
With the recent surge in support for the PPC nation wide, this riding is in for a shock on election night. Leah Gazan turned her back on the community when she was needed the most during the lockdowns. Additionally, racial minorities have higher rates of so-called vaccine hesitancy than the general public, and the NDP's position on mandatory vaccinations for federal workers will not go over well here. There is a silent surge in PPC support nationwide that will be enough to overcome the entrenched political machinery of current incumbent parties. It will be close, but I predict that Bhavni Bhakoo of the People's Party of Canada will emerge victorious on September 20
	24/08/21	Chris N 67.69.69.196
I’d love to know what happened to Robert-Falcon Ouellette’s nomination this summer. He stated he planned on running again, but then the party suddenly appointed someone else. Regardless, this riding is likely an NDP hold come September.
	21/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Whenever the federal Libs offer NDP-killing FN stars, they seem to flame out after one election--and Robert-Falcon Ouellette followed in the footsteps of Elijah Harper and Tina Keeper (though in all of those cases, the NDP were hampered by an extenuating matter--Audrey's black hole of a campaign in '93, their former Churchill MP running as an independent in '06, Mulcair's black hole of a campaign + Pat Martin choking on his own abrasiveness in '15). Simply winning in '19 marked Gazan as a powerhouse--though less ‘third way’ and more AOC-esque than Pat Martin; which is why *any* notion of inner-city condo-gentrification *could* pose a threat. But, really; in the end, Winnipeg Centre is more of a Vancouver East than Vancouver Centre sort of place, where the spot gentrification gets lost in the maw. (One other interesting bit of polling trivia: the riding's western fringe, King Edward et al, actually went Conservative--like it really would rather have been in a Charleswood et al sort of place).
	13/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Would expect this one to stay ndp although could still be competitive if the liberals run the former mp from 2015. But has historically been an ndp riding .
	10/08/21	MF 70.27.132.108
A low income, inner city riding and traditional stronghold for the NDP, Leah Gazan won by a fairly comfortable margin in 2019 taking out one-term Liberal Robert-Falcon Ouellette. . And with the NDP's fortunes on the upswing she should have little problem holding Winnipeg Centre.
	11/05/21	VotreChoix 149.202.238.204
Could be NDP-Liberal competitive, but the way the NDP is polling right now it's probably safe to give it to them.