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Cypress Hills-Grasslands
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:44:52
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Hird, Mackenzie

Hislop, Charles Reginald

Lewans, Maria Rose

McPhee, Alex

Patzer, Jeremy

Skagen, Mark

Vandale, Carol


Incumbent:

Jeremy Patzer

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

68353
67834

32853
27823

75884.34 km²
0.90/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Jeremy Patzer 3114081.10%
Trevor Peterson 36669.50%
William Caton 15954.20%
Lee Harding 10752.80%
Bill Clary 7191.90%
Maria Lewans 2200.60%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

David Anderson ** 2505069.20%
Marvin Wiens 538114.90%
Trevor Peterson 478313.20%
William Caton 9932.70%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2287070.57%
674120.80%
18955.85%
9012.78%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Cypress Hills-Grasslands
   (87.5% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Battlefords-Lloydminster
   (9.28% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Palliser
   (3.22% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


31/08/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Jeremy Patzer was first elected in 2019 so not that well known but riding is a long time conservative riding in rural Saskatchewan so likely cpc .
21/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
It figures that this'd be one of those ridings where CPC crossed the 80% threshold in '19--and given patterns elsewhere that year, 81% might even seem a bit *low*. And it could lose a Keyes Constant share of that vote to Maverick and still be in majority territory. A reflection of how universally and monolithically things have shifted in the CPC direction: Caronport, which the Christian-centric Briercrest College long made a spot of nuclear Con support, is now actually slightly *below* riding par for the Cons.
11/05/21 VotreChoix
149.202.238.204
Rural riding in Saskatchewan, should be safe CPC barring a surge from the Mavericks or PPC.



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