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Carlton Trail-Eagle Creek
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:44:52
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Andruschak, Harrison

Block, Kelly

Bohach, Micheal

O'Toole, Shannon

Pastoor, Diane

Reemaul, Cherese


Incumbent:

Kelly Block

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

80662
72607

33355
29847

28381.48 km²
2.80/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Kelly Block ** 3531378.60%
Jasmine Calix 553512.30%
Rebecca Malo 20854.60%
Dean Gibson 8731.90%
Cody Payant 7991.80%
Glenn Wright 3440.80%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Kelly Block ** 2600464.70%
Glenn Wright 749918.70%
Alexander Slusar 577414.40%
Lynn Wesley Oliphant 9022.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2231068.35%
796224.39%
12783.92%
8542.62%
Other 2360.72%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Saskatoon-Wanuskewin
   (52.3% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Saskatoon-Humboldt
   (22.88% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar
   (22.59% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Cypress Hills-Grasslands
   (2.24% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


21/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Another ‘watch Maverick’ situation--though maybe not *as* much of one, given the moderating element of greater Saskatoon. And that whole Martensville/Warman zone seems compatible w/the ‘Leslyn Lewis’ element within CPC.
21/08/21
70.64.120.188
Solid blue area. The only question is whether the pro-lifers will go PPC or something, and even then there's probably enough of them to outvote the NDP/etc even with the vote split.
15/08/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Relatively new riding but made up of long time conservative areas of rural sask . so likely Kelly Block holds the riding .
11/05/21 VotreChoix
149.202.238.204
Rural riding in Saskatchewan, should be safe CPC barring a surge from the Mavericks or PPC.



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