Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Regina-Qu'Appelle
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:44:52
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Bos, Annaliese

Hunter, Naomi

Melanson, Cecilia

Scheer, Andrew

Yubeta, Andrew


Incumbent:

Andrew Scheer

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

76017
72891

34486
30087

13023.18 km²
5.80/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Andrew Scheer ** 2446363.10%
Ray Aldinger 768519.80%
Jordan Ames-Sinclair 454311.70%
Dale Dewar 12823.30%
Tracey Sparrowhawk 5131.30%
James Plummer 1160.30%
Kieran Szuchewycz 780.20%
Éric Normand 750.20%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Andrew Scheer ** 1648644.70%
Nial Kuyek 1114430.20%
Della Anaquod 840122.80%
Greg Chatterson 8522.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1619653.19%
1176838.65%
14474.75%
9072.98%
Other 1270.42%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Regina-Qu'Appelle
   (97.71% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Palliser
   (1.54% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre
   (0.45% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Yorkton-Melville
   (0.29% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Blackstrap
   (0.01% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


21/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
He might face token post-leadership attrition, but Howdy Doody's not likely to have his strings snipped this time. And re his reported statement that he doesn't need the indigenous vote to win: his total vote share in all the reserves in the riding was...3%. (He also lost a few polls in North Central Regina, another place chock full of votes he doesn't need to win.)
15/08/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Andrew Scheer has mostly disappeared from political importance although still an mp and would expect him to hold his riding in Saskatchewan.
11/05/21 VotreChoix
149.202.238.204
Should likely be a comfortable CPC seat due to the rural areas countering the Regina portions of the riding. Plus Scheer is still well liked in the riding despite his impressions in the rest of Canada.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster