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Edmonton Riverbend
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:48:09
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Chaudary, Tariq

Gray, Shawn

Hoffman, Melanie

Jeneroux, Matt

Peace, Jennifer


Incumbent:

Matt Jeneroux

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

120863
106302

47270
44950

61.50 km²
1965.30/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Matt Jeneroux ** 3512657.40%
Tariq Chaudary 1403823.00%
Audrey Redman 933215.30%
Valerie Kennedy 17972.90%
Kevin Morris 8551.40%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Matt Jeneroux 2880549.90%
Tariq Chaudary 1742830.20%
Brian Fleck 984617.10%
Valerie Kennedy 12752.20%
Steven Lack 3860.70%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2568959.37%
915821.17%
627114.49%
21494.97%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Edmonton-Leduc
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


25/08/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Matt Jeneroux was first elected in 2015 in what has been a long time conservative riding in Edmonton federally. So likely he holds the riding.
23/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
It actually might not be *too* much less vulnerable than Mill Woods, at least on paper--it's more upscale than the Edmonton norm in a way that might favour the Libs more than some are counting on, and Chaudary's past results (incl. as the best non-incumbent Lib in Edmonton in '19) demonstrate as much. But as in Edmonton Manning, caution reigns. (And even the NDP overperforms on Strathcona-overspill energy.)
11/05/21 VotreChoix
149.202.238.204
Suburban Edmonton seat which has been safe for the Conservatives for decades. Don't see that changing this election.



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