Beauchamp, Tyler
	Calliou, Travis
	Charles, Hugo
	Lake, Mike
	Thiering, Ron
Incumbent:
	Mike Lake

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			158749 110644 64260 57322 4842.44 km² 32.80/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Mike Lake **	63346	72.40%
	Richard Wong	10802	12.40%
	Noah Garver	9820	11.20%
	Emily Drzymala	1660	1.90%
	Neil Doell	1616	1.80%
	Travis Calliou	211	0.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Mike Lake **	44949	65.80%
	Jacqueline Biollo	14660	21.50%
	Fritz K. Bitz	6645	9.70%
	Joy-Ann Hut	1595	2.30%
	Brayden Whitlock	495	0.70%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		31196	75.57%
		5892	14.27%
		2364	5.73%
		1688	4.09%
Other		142	0.34%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Edmonton-Leduc    (39.71% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Wetaskiwin    (30.21% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont    (28.13% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Vegreville-Wainwright    (1.95% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	06/09/21	Thomas K 24.85.228.170
Easy Conservative hold: this riding has more people than the entire province of Prince Edward Island, which has 4 ridings. Kind of represents the sense of anger many in Alberta feel towards the Eastern Laurentian elite.
	02/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Mike Lake was first elected in 2006 in the Edmonton Mills Woods riding but switched to this riding in 2015. It includes parts of south Edmonton but also a large rural area outside the city. Which might explain the high conservative totals here. likely to stay cpc
	23/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
In '19, I was circumspect about the ‘inevitability’ of this as a 70%+ CPC seat, due to ‘moderating’ Edmonton growth et al--and indeed, the only reason this *was* such a seat is that it was the sort of election where the Cons were routinely chalking up 80%+ mandates in rural Alberta. (The fact that Mike Lake went from outpolling Garnett Genuis by nearly 2 points to being outpolled by Genuis by nearly a point is a ghost of my ‘moderation notion’.) And being the kind of rurban seat that it is, it'll probably be more prone to Maverick raiding than the Edmontonian norm; which means, bye bye such inevitability.
	11/05/21	VotreChoix 149.202.238.204
Suburban Edmonton seat which has been safe for the Conservatives for decades. Don't see that changing this election.