Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Foothills
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-05 13:06:03
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Barlow, John

Hunter, Daniel

Rogers, Brett

Shimp, Paula

Traxel, Michelle

Wylie, Josh


Incumbent:

John Barlow

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

113227
105515

44928
41318

20865.99 km²
5.40/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

John Barlow ** 5387282.10%
Cheryl Moller 38565.90%
Mickail Hendi 37675.70%
Bridget Lacey 23983.70%
Greg Hession 16982.60%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

John Barlow ** 4616675.70%
Tanya MacPherson 814913.40%
Alison Thompson 39196.40%
Romy S. Tittel 19833.30%
Cory Morgan 4240.70%
Marc Slingerland 3450.60%


2011 Results (redistributed)

3589977.82%
465510.09%
16243.52%
21934.75%
Other 17583.81%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Macleod
   (99.92% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Lethbridge
   (0.08% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


31/08/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
John Barlow was first elected in a 2014 by election in what has been a long time conservative riding in rural alberta. Likely to stay cpc
23/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
I allowed in '19 for the ‘extreme case scenario’ of no opponents even getting a tenth of what CPC got--well, thanks to the Scheer wall and splits, the best anyone got was a bit over 7% of the CPC total. (And yet thanks to FN, opposition seats were won anyway.)
11/05/21 VotreChoix
149.202.238.204
Rural Alberta seat so safe CPC for now unless Mavericks/PPC start making momentum.
05/05/21 JW
45.41.168.96
Montreal West Island constituencies are generally reliably Liberal.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster