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Red Deer-Mountain View
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:48:09
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Adewumi, Olumide

Dreeshen, Earl

Grabowski, Marie

Lorencz, Kelly

Pilon, Jared

Wilcox, Mark

Willington, Clayten


Incumbent:

Earl Dreeshen

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

119019
110793

50728
46577

7696.45 km²
15.50/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Earl Dreeshen ** 5476580.30%
Logan Garbanewski 49467.30%
Gary Tremblay 37955.60%
Paul Mitchell 26373.90%
Conner Borlé 20263.00%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Earl Dreeshen ** 4624574.30%
Chandra Lescia Kastern 835613.40%
Paul Harris 52338.40%
Simon Oleny 16212.60%
James Walper 4450.70%
Scott Milne 3120.50%


2011 Results (redistributed)

3750779.37%
562811.91%
16713.54%
23855.05%
Other 660.14%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Red Deer
   (71.06% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Wild Rose
   (28.19% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Crowfoot
   (0.74% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


23/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
If Maverick's worth watching, it's because the southward rurality around Olds & Didsbury was particularly strong for Reform in the calm-before-the-storm year of 1988. But Red Deer urbanity likely cancels it out--that is, *if* Maverick's positioned to be competitive at all, anyplace. (Then again, the Red Deer seats were Alta's strongest for PPC in '19--an old-school Reformer here, and Jagmeet's 10%+ Burnaby South byelection opponent in the other.)
11/05/21 VotreChoix
149.202.238.204
Rural Alberta seat so safe CPC for now unless Mavericks/PPC start making momentum.



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