Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

St. Albert-Edmonton
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:48:09
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Cecelia, Brigitte

Cooper, Michael

Mpulubusi, Kathleen

Springate, Greg


Incumbent:

Michael Cooper

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

121313
105216

44135
42948

105.71 km²
1147.60/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Michael Cooper ** 3950660.70%
Greg Springate 1247719.20%
Kathleen Mpulubusi 989515.20%
Rob Dunbar 15942.40%
Brigitte Cecelia 12681.90%
Robert Bruce Fraser 3510.50%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Michael Cooper 2678345.20%
Beatrice Ghettuba 1334322.50%
Brent Rathgeber ** 1165219.70%
Darlene Malayko 660911.20%
Andrea Oldham 8211.40%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2762764.48%
860020.07%
464210.83%
19734.61%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Edmonton-St. Albert
   (99.9% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Westlock-St. Paul
   (0.1% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


02/09/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Michael Cooper was first elected in 2015 when he beat independent former cpc mp Brent Rathgeber and re elected in 2019. Riding has been conservative for some time federally so likely to stay cpc.
24/08/21
96.52.62.117
My home riding so thought I should put something here, though there is not much to say. Easy Conservative win in the Tory heartland, even though the incumbent is very underwhelming IMO.
23/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Safe Con, but in a typical urban-Edmonton ‘asterisked’ way, wherein 60%-ish was the '19 *ceiling*. Cooper didn't, as I ‘allowed for’, fall below '15 last time--but he could in today's Kenney-backlash climate. But falling below '15 isn't falling, period.
11/05/21 VotreChoix
149.202.238.204
Suburban Edmonton seat which has been safe for the Conservatives for decades. Don't see that changing this election.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster