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New Westminster-Burnaby
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-22 10:58:03
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Heide, Kevin

Jaffer, Rozina

Julian, Peter

Macdonald, David

Munro, Paige


Incumbent:

Peter Julian

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

115340
108652

51057
48649

26.30 km²
4386.00/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Peter Julian ** 2343744.20%
Will Davis 1241423.40%
Megan Veck 1143921.60%
Suzanne de Montigny 43788.30%
Hansen Ginn 8621.60%
Neeraj Murarka 3070.60%
Ahmad Passyar 830.20%
Joseph Theriault 570.10%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Peter Julian ** 2287643.50%
Sasha Ramnarine 1525329.00%
Chloé Ellis 1051220.00%
Kyle Routledge 24874.70%
Rex Brocki 13682.60%
Joseph Theriault 1460.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1423134.76%
2120051.78%
35628.70%
17734.33%
Other 1770.43%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Burnaby-New Westminster
   (68.71% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   New Westminster-Coquitlam
   (31.29% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


02/09/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Peter Julian has been mp of this riding since 2004 hard to believe now that it had been a reform/alliance riding before that. But ndp likely to hold the riding this election
25/08/21 A.S.
45.41.168.91
How the NDP maintains its iron grip on New Westminster is, aside from Peter Julian's political gifts, a puzzle--my suspicion is that it has something to do with an age-old small-city ‘Lotusland Anglospheric’ element not unlike Victoria. Something that hasn't been smothered by bustle or coarsened by ‘new arrivals’; almost like ‘Diefen-Dippers’ of a sort. Maybe a bit analogous to Guelph/Kingston Liberals, albeit without the conspicuous campus/institutional element. Or Aussie/NZ Labo(u)r, in its way? (That is, more ‘Pacific’ than ‘Atlantic’.) Whatever it is, they make it work...
21/05/21
99.226.172.248
The NDP retained this seat in 2019, did slightly better than in 2015. I expect this one to remain NDP by a fairly healthy margin.
17/05/21 ME
45.72.200.7
This is a safe NDP riding on 338



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