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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Hamilton Mountain


Prediction Changed
2021-06-30 17:45:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Busa, Andy

Errygers, Janet

Lachance, Chantale

Nguyen, Baylee

Spadafora, Mike

Taylor, Monique


Incumbent:
Monique Taylor

Population (2016):

104877
Population (2011):103615


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

MONIQUE TAYLOR *
24,40654.58%
ESTHER PAULS
12,89128.83%
DAMIN STARR
4,1349.24%
DAVE URQUHART
2,3005.14%
KRISTOFER MAVES
5331.19%
SCOTT PATRICK MILLER
4531.01%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

11,343 28.06%
7,099 17.56%
19,649 48.61%
1,750 4.33%
OTHERS 585 1.45%
Total Transposed 40,426
      Component Riding(s)

Hamilton Mountain
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Scott Duvall **
19,13536.10%
Bruno Uggenti
16,05730.30%
Peter Dyakowski
13,44325.40%
Dave Urquhart
3,1155.90%
Trevor Lee
7601.40%
Jim Enos
3300.60%
Richard Plett
1090.20%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Scott Duvall
18,14635.90%
Shaun Burt
16,93333.50%
Al Miles
12,99125.70%
Raheem Aman
1,2832.50%
Andrew James Caton
7631.50%
Jim Enos
4380.90%


 

27/05/2022 Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105
This riding went Liberal federally in the last federal election but provincially I think it will stay NDP in 2022.
27/04/22 LeftCoast
207.194.253.26
The Liberals managed to wrestle this one way from the NDP at the federal level, but from what I can tell NDP incumbent Monique Taylor will hold it provincially, although probably by a more competitive margin.
14/04/22 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Unlike Paul Miller, Monique Taylor's represented her constituents incident-free and is pretty much joined at the Hamiltonian hip w/Horwath. Though if it were to be an open seat, perhaps in a post-Andrea era and w/continued concerns over the Dippers becoming too "inner urban woke", it isn't like the Mountain couldn't be vulnerable to a Tory challenge, much like it proved vulnerable to the Libs federally. But now, it'd be like a Ford Nation machine working on 100-seat overdrive.
10/03/22 R.O.
24.146.13.249
Monique Taylor first elected here in 2011 , the riding has voted for other parties but considering the ndp has been doing well in Hamilton provincially lately its likely they hold the seat this election.
26/06/21
142.120.104.154
Living ?below?, I find the mountain weird - a slightly cheaper version of Mississauga. Although the riding is more competitive federally, at the provincial level its fairly safe for the NDP.
10/06/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
This has been a reliable NDP seat in recent provincial elections. I see the NDP keeping the seat in 2022.



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