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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes


Prediction Changed
2021-06-30 17:45:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Bennett, Josh

Clark, Steve

Ireland, Stephen

Jager, Fiona

Kitsch, Daniel

Malcolm, Glenn L.

Senger, Dave

Snow, Mark

Wilson, Chris


Incumbent:
Steve Clark

Population (2016):

100546
Population (2011):99306


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

STEVE CLARK *
30,00261.27%
MICHELLE TAYLOR
9,68819.78%
DAVID HENDERSON
6,54313.36%
DEREK MORLEY
2,3474.79%
BILL BUCKLEY
3890.79%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

8,499 20.49%
23,253 56.07%
7,219 17.41%
2,030 4.89%
OTHERS 471 1.14%
Total Transposed 41,472
      Component Riding(s)

Leeds-Grenville
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Michael Barrett **
28,63049.00%
Josh Bennett
15,48226.50%
Michelle Taylor
8,20114.00%
Lorraine Rekmans
5,1528.80%
Evan Hindle
9881.70%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Gord Brown **
26,73847.40%
Mary Jean McFall
22,88840.60%
Margaret Andrade
4,7228.40%
Lorraine A. Rekmans
2,0883.70%


 

27/05/2022 Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105
Even if the PC's somehow mimic their federal cousins from 1993 and only win 2 seats in the elections they'll still win here. The area has been PC for all but 1 or 2 terms a long time ago. Steve Clark is headed back to Queens Park.
27/04/22 LeftCoast
207.194.253.26
One of the safest Tory seats. Steve Clark will get back in easily.
17/04/22 A.S.
99.225.52.35
If one were to be told that only 5 PC seats crossed the 60% threshold in '18...yup, you guessed it, Steve Clark in Leeds-Grenville-etc-etc-etc-etc was among the lucky quintet. As contentious as his Municipal Affairs tenure might be in the eyes of 416 city slickers, to locals it's a badge of honour for the former boy mayor of Brockville.
04/03/22 R.O.
24.146.13.249
Steve Clark has been mpp for Leeds Grenville since 2010 , so well known by now and riding has a long pc history .
10/06/21 David
65.95.248.19
If the Conservatives were to only win 7 seats in the next election, Leeds-Grenville would be one of the seven. You have to go back to the 1930's for the lat time the Conservatives lost here and 2003 landslide Liberal majority for the last time they didn't get 50% of the vote.
12/05/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
This is a very Conservative riding. MPP Steve Clark usually wins with more than 60% of the vote.



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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022
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