| |
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Calandra, Paul |  |
Dunn, Kelly |  |
Gowland, Jennifer |  |
Kwok, Kingsley |  |
O'Brien, Myles |  |
Petit, Michele |
Incumbent:
| Paul Calandra |
Population (2016): |
126064 |
| Population (2011): | 109780 |
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
|
| |  |
PAUL CALANDRA |
| 25,912 | 48.12% |
|  |
HELENA JACZEK * |
| 14,007 | 26.01% |
|  |
KINGSLEY KWOK |
| 10,997 | 20.42% |
|  |
JOSE ETCHEVERRY |
| 2,153 | 4.00% |
|  |
PAUL BALFOUR |
| 660 | 1.23% |
|  |
YURI DUBOISKY |
| 117 | 0.22% |
2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
|
|  |
20,701 | 48.47% |
|  |
14,559 | 34.09% |
|  |
5,176 | 12.12% |
|  |
1,561 | 3.66% |
| OTHERS |
712 | 1.67% |
| Total Transposed |
42,708 |
| Component Riding(s) |
| Oak Ridges-Markham
(90.70% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
| Markham-Unionville
(9.30% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
2021 Federal Election Prediction
| |
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Helena Jaczek |
| 25,055 | 38.90% |
|  |
Theodore Antony |
| 19,703 | 30.60% |
|  |
Jane Philpott ** |
| 13,340 | 20.70% |
|  |
Hal Berman |
| 4,132 | 6.40% |
|  |
Roy Long |
| 1,621 | 2.50% |
|  |
Jeremy Lin |
| 537 | 0.80% |
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
| |
|  |
Jane Philpott |
| 29,416 | 49.20% |
|  |
Paul Calandra ** |
| 25,565 | 42.80% |
|  |
Gregory Hines |
| 3,647 | 6.10% |
|  |
Myles O'Brien |
| 1,145 | 1.90% |
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| 27/05/2022 |
Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105 |
| I have Paul Calandra keeping this seat in the PC column. |
| 27/04/22 |
WesternLeftist
207.194.253.26 |
| This will likely be an easy hold for the PCs (at least by suburban 905 standards), and Ford loyalist Paul Calandra will return to Queen's Park for a second term. |
 | 05/04/22 |
A.S.
99.225.52.35 |
| If Del Duca's setting York Region sights higher than his own seat, this could actually be targetable--it was one of a pair of '18 PC submajorities in York Region, some of that due to Helena Jaczek's vestigial strength, some of that due to Calandra's abrasive rep from his Federal stint, and some of that due to an undercurrent of "Jane Philpott Brahmin" that's particularly marked among the "old stock" populace in Stouffville and Old Markham. Indeed, '18's biggest epicentres of Lib support were gated golf/adult-lifestyle communities like Ballantrae and Swan Lake Village, places that would once have been assumed to be solid Tory--that's how things have flipped around in the Ford era. (But more foretellingly/ominously ethno-Millennial a la Jagmeet was how places like Box Grove became *NDP* 2nd.) |
| 24/03/22 |
R.O.
24.146.13.249 |
| Paul Calandra was first elected here provincially in 2018 , he had previously been an mp for the same area but not exactly the same riding from 2008-2015. New liberal candidate is Kelly Dunn as former mpp Helena Jaczek is now mp for this riding. Its unclear who the ndp will run here but they typically don?¢â‚¬â„¢t focus on York region. |
| 26/02/22 |
Jeremus von Stroheim
23.248.145.246 |
| I think that unless the election really starts going the Liberal's way, this will stay safely PC. One of the worst NDP seats in the province |
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