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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Markham-Unionville


Prediction Changed
2022-03-27 18:29:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Kollis, Trina

Li, Emily

Mahalingam, Senthil

Obredor, Naz

Pang, Billy

Sundarason, Shanta


Incumbent:
Billy Pang

Population (2016):

123318
Population (2011):104693


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

BILLY PANG
29,30562.43%
AMANDA YEUNG COLLUCCI
8,45618.01%
SYLVIE DAVID
7,77816.57%
DEBORAH MOOLMAN
9962.12%
ALLEN SMALL
2440.52%
ANASTASIA AFONINA
1610.34%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

15,142 43.88%
14,082 40.81%
3,430 9.94%
1,311 3.80%
OTHERS 546 1.58%
Total Transposed 34,510
      Component Riding(s)

Oak Ridges-Markham
(52.42% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

Markham-Unionville
(47.58% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Bob Saroya **
26,13348.90%
Alan Ho
20,48438.40%
Gregory Hines
3,5246.60%
Elvin Kao
2,3944.50%
Sarah Chung
8611.60%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Bob Saroya
24,60549.40%
Bang-Gu Jiang
21,59643.30%
Colleen Zimmerman
2,5285.10%
Elvin Kao
1,1102.20%


 

28/05/2022 Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105
I think the PC's will sweep the Markham ridings. I thought Calandra's may have been the easiest one for them to win but looking at different numbers it is probably this 1.
27/04/22 WesternLeftist
207.194.253.26
Certainly the safest of the Markham seats for the PCs. Billy Pang will be returned for a second term.
05/04/22 A.S.
99.225.52.35
It was a surprise defeat for the federal Cons in '21; however, the provincial Libs are coming from a much weaker position than the federal Justin Libs ever did, and Billy Pang's sitting on a far bigger advantage--it'd take an even more drastic u-turn among the Chinese electorate than we've seen so far to budge this one. At most, maybe, Billy Pang might miss out on a majority the way that Bob Saroya did in his victories--the vulnerability here's more long-term than short-term, in that "conditional" York Region Ford Nation way.
29/03/22 R.O.
24.146.13.249
Billy Pang was first elected here in 2018 and riding also redrawn that year into one which is more the northern half of Markham. Its not uncommon for this riding to have members for different parties provincially and federally. When Bob Saroya first elected here in 2015 as a conservative it was still a liberal riding provincially.true its a different race than 2018 but would still expect the pc’s to hold this area. The liberals and ndp also yet to select candidates for the riding .
09/03/22 Finn
72.138.106.30
There is almost no scenario in which I see this riding going anything but PC. Some polls in this riding have Pang up over 30 points. This should be the easiest hold for the PCs in the GTA.
26/02/22 Jeremus von Stroheim
23.248.145.246
Classic Chinese conservative riding. Not much question as to how this seat will go with Ford at the helm.
23/02/22 Allen
135.23.232.40
I think this will be a target riding for the Liberals. The federal party, shockingly, retook the federal Markham-Unionville riding after years of the area going Conservative. I think, given the dissatisfaction with Ford, that a lot of those federal Liberal votes will translate for the provincial Liberals here
03/06/21 KXS
99.247.196.32
Interesting how Markham was one of the safest PC seats in the Harris era, then became reliably Liberal and now Markham-Unionville is the 2nd strongest PC riding in the province.
Hard to see the how the PCs will lose this riding in the next campaign.



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