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Babcock, Glenys |  |
G?©linas, France |  |
Hazlett, Randy |  |
Proulx, Gilles |  |
Savoie, Melanie |  |
Schneider, Willy |
Incumbent:
| France GĂ©linas |
Population (2016): |
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| Population (2011): | 84520 |
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
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FRANCE GÉLINAS * |
| 23,157 | 63.50% |
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JO-ANN CARDINAL |
| 8,018 | 21.99% |
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TAY BUTT |
| 3,182 | 8.73% |
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BILL CRUMPLIN |
| 1,137 | 3.12% |
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MATTHEW DEL PAPA |
| 373 | 1.02% |
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JAMES CHRETIEN |
| 220 | 0.60% |
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KEVIN R. BRAULT |
| 214 | 0.59% |
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BAILEY BURCH-BELANGER |
| 166 | 0.46% |
2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
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7,031 | 21.90% |
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3,827 | 11.92% |
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20,104 | 62.62% |
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1,145 | 3.57% |
| OTHERS |
| !Syntax Error, *% |
| Total Transposed |
32,107 |
| Component Riding(s) |
| Nickel Belt
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions |
2021 Federal Election Prediction
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2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
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Marc G Serré ** |
| 19,046 | 39.00% |
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Stef Paquette |
| 15,656 | 32.10% |
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Aino Laamanen |
| 10,343 | 21.20% |
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Casey Lalonde |
| 2,644 | 5.40% |
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Mikko Paavola |
| 1,159 | 2.40% |
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
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Marc G. Serré |
| 21,021 | 42.80% |
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Claude Gravelle ** |
| 18,556 | 37.80% |
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Aino Laamanen |
| 8,221 | 16.70% |
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Stuart McCall |
| 1,217 | 2.50% |
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Dave Starbuck |
| 98 | 0.20% |
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| 01/06/2022 |
NJam101
216.167.228.27 |
| France Gelinas will win again. Probably with a lower percentage of the votes compared to previous elections but nobody will be close. |
| 29/05/2022 |
Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105 |
| NDP since the 70's. Gelinas has been MPP since 2007. Whether the NDP or Liberal are official opposition after June 2 in Ontario doesn't matter here. NDP hold. |
| 28/04/22 |
LeftCoast
207.194.253.26 |
| One of the safest NDP seats in the province. Popular incumbent France G?©linas will undoubtedly return to the Legislature. |
| 21/04/22 |
A.S.
99.225.52.35 |
| It's safe provincially; no denying that. However, even if the federal boundaries are different, it's worth pointing out that the federal riding of Nickel Belt saw the NDP place (marginally) 3rd for the first time in decades in '21, and the CPC/PPC "united right" finished ahead of the victorious Libs. That is, even the federal Nickel Belt might not be entirely immune to UK-style red-wall breaching. But that's federal. Provincially, "scary" for the ONDP would be passing below 50%. Even below 60% might be "uh-oh" (though absorbable on shrugging "federal right-shift effect tokenly trickling down provincially" grounds). |
| 25/02/22 |
R.O.
24.146.13.249 |
| Long time ndp riding and current mpp France Gelinas plans to run again so likely to stay ndp . |
| 02/06/21 |
IAMWOMAN
174.95.86.112 |
| France G?linas is one of the most active MPs and is very present throughout the entire riding, not just the suburban cores. The fact that she is francophone/bilingual is essential to her success... but how invested she is into the community and to so many causes makes her the best candidate, hands down. Plus, we must consider that this riding has been NDP for 50 years or so at the provincial level, and swaps NDP/Lib federally - mostly because of the slight difference between the two ridings (West Nipissing = Liberal). |
| 17/05/21 |
Chris N
24.36.32.209 |
This riding has been orange since the 70s. I can?t see the NDP suddenly losing it in 2022.
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