1999 Ontario Provincial Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction
Mississauga South

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:

Liberal Party:
Ieva Martin
Progressive Conservative Party:
Hon. Margaret Marland MPP
New Democratic Party:
Ken Cole
Tim Sullivan

Incumbent (old riding composition):
Mississauga East (11%):
Carl DeFaria
Mississauga South (99.5%):
Hon. Margaret Marland
Mississauga West (6%):
Hon. Rob Sampson

Member of Parliament:
Paul Szabo

Population: 99 333
Avg Household Income 64 977
Language (Home)
English 85 330
Polish 2 120
Submitted Information
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02/17/99 C. Stanley Email: charmaine.stanley@utoronto.ca
It's no secret that the Harris Tories are popular in the "905" and Mississauga South is no exception! Besides, even before Harris, for as long as I can remember, this riding has always been conservative provincially (and federally until '93). Local Tory MPP Margaret Marland has been around for a long time and does not seem to be in any immediate danger of losing her seat.
02/18/99 HND Email:
Incumbent Marland is currently in the hospital recovering from bypass surgery. If the election is called soon, as some predict, she may not be able to run, leaving the field open for another Tory candidate. Without Marg, the tories are a bit weaker, providing some faint hope for the opposition parties. The likely Liberal candidate will be Dave Sands, a retired secondary school teacher, and campaign manager for MP Paul Szabo's successful federal campaign. The NDP has pamphleted 400 apartments and 10 000 homes since Chrisitmas, and its candidate is already working the riding. A pretty safe Tory seat,although the uncertainty about Marland's health adds a new dimension.
03/23/99 A.S. Email: adma@interlog.com
Between her current health situation and her twin defeats for the Speakership, it's been a bittersweet term for Margaret Marland, at what could have been the apex of her political career--but even if she's in some way incapacitated, I doubt that the PCs will slough off this safe riding with a mediocre candidate and indifferent campaign. For the record, the Liberals would have won within these boundaries in 1987; and while the estates and upscale neighbourhoods of Lorne Park and Clarkson are Tory to the core, much of Port Credit, Lakeview, and Park Royal would be Lib/NDP if it weren't for the beckoning strength of the Marland machine. The opposition will bear their standards proud and well--but that's the best I can say.
05/30/99 rc Email: adma@interlog.com
This riding has never elected a liberal at the provincial level. If the signs on the streets are any indication this may be a closer vote then is normal in this riding. The more affluent streets are clearly tory with middle and lower income areas clearly liberal. This result may be decided on the basis of which party can get the vote out on thurs.

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Last Updated 1st June 1999

© 1999 Milton Chan, University of Waterloo
This site is maintained by Milton Chan