1999 Ontario Provincial Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction
Mississauga West

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:

Liberal Party:
Bob Delaney
Progressive Conservative Party:
Hon. John Snobelen MPP
New Democratic Party:
Maxine Caron
Natural Law Party:
Fred Fredeen

Incumbent (old riding composition):
Mississauga North (51.5%):
Hon. John Snobelen
Mississauga West (23%):
Hon. Rob Sampson

Member of Parliament:
Steve Mahoney

Population: 99 281
Avg Household Income 67 054
Language (Home)
English 85 605
Polish 2 265
Submitted Information
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Too Close
03/16/99 Email: 3arb@qlink.queenus.ca
John Snobelen has been a pretty constant embarassment as a minister. This won't help Snobelen's re-election effort.
Too Close
03/22/99 A.S. Email: adma@interlog.com
Say what you will, but losing the hot-button Education ministry was a pretty good thing for Snobelen; it deflected the education activists to Dave Johnson, and who in these suburban parts cares about the bear hunt being cancelled...he seems a little more serene these days. Anyway, Meadowvale and Streetsville (the latter being the turf of Mayor Hazel) are what delivered the former Mississauga North to Snobelen, and it was only Liberal Steve Mahoney's popularity that made the Erin Mills result closer to a draw in '95. But this is still that tricky, ethnically eclectic middle-class Mississauga midzone that can very easily turn Liberal on a dime. And the opposition surely sees this as a target--after all, it's "John Snobleton" (as call-in show mouth-breathers like to call him). Win or lose, the wiseacre wags'll agree on one thing; Snobelen's percentage of the vote will be higher than his I.Q.
04/18/99 Mike O'Brien Email: l.obrien@nf.sympatico.ca
Snobelen's actually probably benefitted by having redistribution. It might actually removed the section of the riding that could have been upset with him and even brought in a section unlikely to oust a member of cabinet.
04/18/99 L.O. Email: petercashin@yahoo.com
Snobelen is a cabinet minister. Despite unpopularity for education issues, the question of whether or not the riding he represents was upset must be asked. according to local papers in the past, there doesn't seem to be much more than indifference. It's not really enough to displace a cabinet minister considering the way politics goes. Still, Liberals have a ghost of a chance I suppose..
05/07/99 G.Brown Email: georgbrown@excite.com
I think that this will be a closely fought riding but the Liberal candidate has a good chance at defeating the incumbent. The schools in Mississauga are overcrowded with few signs that this will improve under the PC government. Parents will remember the new school boards funding formula that was postponed until after the election. A campaign based on local issues like education and health care and the government record in those areas will make this a very close race!
05/21/99 j Email: justinv@uvic.ca
The new poll in the Sun gives the riding to the Conservatives by a wide margin (25% lead over Liberals). This riding prediction should be changed to safe Conservative. The same goes for Oshawa. Conservatives will take all 20 '905' seats.
05/21/99 Email:
Isn't it interesting that in today's Sun (May 21) their polls have Snobelen at 60% of the vote. Geez, I guess they "really" dislike him. Must be more teachers wishful thinking.
05/29/99 Email:
The Sun is not a source of accurate election predictions. They are very bias. This morning they report another poll. They musn't have liked the CBC poll that showed the Liberal & Conservatives in a dead heat. It is not difficult to remember John Snobelen's inabitity to answer questions in the house. Minister of Education one day, Minister of Natural Resources the next. On election day people will remember the chaos he caused. Just drive around the riding and look at the signs. People are looking for a better representation for Mississagua West.

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Last Updated 30th May 1999

© 1999 Milton Chan, University of Waterloo
This site is maintained by Milton Chan