1999 Ontario Provincial Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:

Liberal Party:
Brian Brown
Progressive Conservative Party:
Ernie Hardeman MPP
New Democratic Party:
Martin Donlevy
Family Coalition Party:
Andre de Decker
Freedom Party:
Paul Blair
Natural Law Party:
Jim Morris
Libertarian Party:
Kaye Sargent

Incumbent (old riding composition):
Oxford (100%):
Ernie Hardeman
Norfolk (16%):
Toby Barrett

Member of Parliament:
John Finley

Surrounding Ridings:

Population: 92 888
Avg Household Income 46 789
Language (Home)
English 87 570
Submitted Information
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03/20/99 A.S. Email: adma@interlog.com
A *very* traditional SW Ontario Tory "heartland" riding, although it did your typical Lib-NDP two-step in 1987-95. While not (yet?) nominated as I write, Ernie Hardeman, a feed mill operator and former township mayor and Oxford County warden, fits this territory like a glove. And if that wasn't enough, Oxford was the closest Jean Charest came to gaining a second PC seat in Ontario in '97.
03/28/99 C.R. Email:
Oxford is a typical small town/rural area, with the demographics largely composed of farmers and small business people, it does not leave a lot of room for organized labour. Although a local High School teacher has been nominated as liberal candidate, the liberals will win support from the teacher union, but having such a large influence, I feel will dienfranchize a lot of people in the liberal party and will switch to the PC's. It may be close, but Oxford will definitely go PC.
05/12/99 Nation Post Email:
For Whom the Bellweather Tolls by John Ibbitson
The former bellwether of Oxford can now be counted safe and secure for Ernie Hardeman, a seed merchant who took the riding in 1995 and, apparently, can have it for as long as he wants.
05/29/99 lrs Email:
a friend drove through Woodstock said mostly PC signs- PCs stronghold

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Last Updated 31st May 1999

© 1999 Milton Chan, University of Waterloo
This site is maintained by Milton Chan