Canadian Federal Election Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:

Liberal Party:
Lawrence O'Brien
Canadian Alliance:
Eugene Burt
Progressive Conservative Party:
hayward Broomfield
New Democratic Party:
Amanda Will

Lawrence O'Brien

Previous Result:

Surrounding Ridings:

Population: ?
Avg Household Income ?
Language (Home)
English ?
French ?
Submitted Information
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09/10/00 L.B. Email:
Labrador has had a Liberal MP every term since Newfoundland joined confederation EXCEPT in 1968. Even then when Ambrose Peddle was returned for the riding of Grand Falls-White Bay-Labrador, Labrador voted Liberal.
Now it has its own seat.
The current MP has not angered the constituents. Certainly it hasn't shown up in the local papers - the Aurora and Labradorian. In fact, there have been some events, including a fis plant opening during the summer that may buoy the MP.
There may be trouble for other Liberal MP's - but not this guy.
10/10/00 Mike Parkes Email:
The NDP candidate came a respectable close second here last time. Labrador has gone NDP in the past (1979), and with a provincial NDP MLA sitting here, that party's federal candidate could win.
10/10/00 RSC Email:
NDP did big turn around and took Lab West in recent Prov elect. This won't be be a Liberal gimme.
12/10/00 L.O. Email:
Labrador has NEVER elected an NDP MP. The only NDP MP EVER elected from Newfoundland and Labrador was Fonse Faour in 1979. He was elected to the District of Humber St. Barbe Baie Verte. At that time, Labrador was represented by Bill Rompkey in Grand Falls-White-Bay-Labrador - a Liberal.
The main reason for the success of the NDP in 1997 was Randy Collins - their candidate there that time. Since then Randy has sqweaked by Perry Canning in the Provincial election in Labrador West. Randy won't be running, and it is highly unlikely that another candidate of his prominence in the Iron ore company union will come forward. It is also unlikely that the PC's will have another parachute candidate.
The NDP success in Labrador was a one-time occurance. The Reform party actually managed to do well there in a 1996 by-election. It had everything to do with the candidate. second place is up for grabs, but the current MP is very strong. No scandals.
12/10/00 Don MakAskill Email:
Anyone who has actually been to Labrador knows that thecoast (Battle Hr to Nain) votes Liberal. The interrior may vote Alliance, Tory, or NDP depending on the Candidate...but eventhough Lab City churchill falls etc.. are bigger communities,the coast's total population rules them out. Lawrence O'Brien has spent considerable federal money on things like the davis inlet move and other native programs and fish plants for the coast He'll take it even if they get a decent interrior candidate.
29/10/00 A.S.
It verged on a near-miss in '97, but w/Randy Collins now in the Nfld Legislature, the Fed NDP's shot its wad, thank you, goodbye. Look to the Tobin effect to further neutralize that '97 wannabe scare. Unless them western CCRAP forces wanna go up the Alaska and Dempster Highways, sail the Northwestern Passage, and land where the Vikings landed...
02/11/00 WJM Email:
Labrador did vote NDP in 1979, but the Newfoundland part of the old riding kept the Liberal in the seat. The NDP vote was satisfied with its 1999 provincial win in Menihek; the candidate won't quit the legislature to run again in Labrador. The opposition parties are having a hell of a time getting candidates.

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Last Update 3 November 2000

© 2000 Milton Chan
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