Canadian Federal Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:

Liberal Party:
Murray Calder
Canadian Alliance:
Don Crawford
Progressive Conservative Party:
Richard Majkot
New Democratic Party:
Mitchel Healey
Green Party:
Robert Strang

Incumbent (old riding composition):
Murray Calder

Previous Result:

Population: 98 460
Avg Household Income 60 151
Submitted Information
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22/10/00 Mr. Mischief Email:
Perrin Beaty the conservative used to win the old equivalent of this seat with an enormous margin, in the good ol' days. Very many conservatives live here. It was so nice of him to sweeten it up for the Alliance, by getting so many people used to voting conservative around here. Guess who's likeliest to win here, on the off chance that the Liberals lose any seats in Ontario?
01/11/00 A.S.
One of several ostensible successors to past Perrin Beatty ridings, this is where the man who finally defeated him chose to stand. Calder, with the lowest '93 Ontario Grit vote both pre and post-redistribution, actually came out of '97 looking a lot stronger than he did going in. But in an outer-905er where provincial PCs typically get a 2/3 mandate, that could still be meaningless. As is--except as a right-divider--any lingering "Beatty effect"; in '97, Reform clearly had the big mo'. Now the CA candidate is Don Crawford, who did so well for Reform in Brampton Centre last time around...
08/11/00 The Insider Email:
The only reason Don Crawford did well in '97 in Brampton Centre was due to an unfair, race-based backlash against the Tory candidate. Crawford is a dull, uncharismatic candidate who will be relegated to a second-place finish behind the Liberals thanks to the Tories taking enough of the right wing vote. The good people of Dufferin-Peel-Wellington-Grey will be spared. They should thank their lucky stars.
14/11/00 Eldo Brougham Email:
The support for Stockwell Day in the leadership campaign was large over Preston. The membership grew signifigantly.People here are growing tired of vote splitting and liberal promises that are broken. A good indicator of the outcome here will be the municipal election which will show greater right of center support. It will go Alliance this time,based on people i have spoken to in the community. Crawford is a strong candidate with a good team.
19/11/00 Pundit Email:
The Alliance campaign is fading accross Ontario, as it is in this riding, although the Alliance will succeed in their second goal of blocking the PC candidate in this tradtionally Tory riding. The Liberals, unfortunately, will be the recipient of this largesse.
23/11/00 Sandy Berger Email:
Stockwell Day has failed miserably to break through in Ontario. The latest Ekos poll in the riding shows the Liberals with 58% of the vote. The Alliance trails far behind with just 21%. Even with an 11% margin of error, the Liberals are definately way out ahead. The survey was taken November 19-21. The full results can be seen at
23/11/00 Mike Wakefield Email:
New VR - Ekos poll shows the Liberals with 37 point lead over the Alliance.

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Last Updated 24 November 2000

© 2000 Milton Chan
This site is maintained by Milton Chan