Canadian Federal Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction
Hamilton West

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:

Liberal Party:
Stan Keyes
Canadian Alliance:
Leon O'Connor
Progressive Conservative Party:
Ron Blackie
New Democratic Party:
Catherine Hudson
Green Party:
Hamish Jamie Campbell
Stephen Downey
Marxist-Leninist Party:
Wendell Fields
Marijuana Party:
Danielle Keir
Communist Party:
Mike Mirza
Natural Law Party:
Rita Rassenberg

Stan Keyes

Previous Result:

Population: 101 471
Avg Household Income 40 649
Submitted Information
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23/10/00 Steven Lloyd Email:
The Liberal candidate won by over 50% of the vote in 97 and all three opposition parties are spliting the protest vote. This seat will remain Liberal
25/10/00 IA LUKSIC Email:
Definitely Liberal. Stan Keyes had a very high percentage last time and the conservative vote here is weak (they overwhelmingly lost this riding). Given the left's weakness this time, these votes will go Liberal. The Alliance has placed this riding as 158th in importance. Nobody thinks the Alliance will get that many seats so it goes to show you that the Alliance considers this seat a Liberal sure bet.
25/10/00 Steven Lloyd Email:
With over 50% of the vote in '97 and the NDP in second place in the riding (18%), look for this one to stay Liberal.
25/10/00 Mr. Mischief Email:
This city is as Liberal as the day is long. See Mr. Lloyd's statistic, above. This riding would be Liberal even in a general defeat.
26/10/00 Christopher J. Currie EMAIL:
I also think that this riding (where I lived for six years) will stay Liberal. *However*, I should point out three things: (i) The NDP ran a reasonably strong second last time. (ii) Provincially, this seat is represented by David Christopherson, of the NDP. (iii) Stan Keyes isn't exactly the most popular figure in Jean Chretien's office these days (well, actually, he never was -- but his open call for JC's resignation could cause the party to abandon him). I don't believe that the NDP have nominated a candidate here yet -- if they field someone credible, it could be a race to watch. I still think Keyes has the edge, though, in any case.
31/10/00 A.S.
Interestingly, Keyes outpolled the still GST-tarred Copps in '97, and was the only Hamilton-area Liberal to land--very barely--on the happy side of 50%. And because of Christopherson, and the fact that Toryism in the McMaster/Westdale direction tends to be "red", this is where NDP's best-placed to outstrategize the Alliance. As the land of Ellen Fairclough and Lincoln Alexander, this hasn't always been a Liberal lock; but, see above.
12/11/00 R.L. Email:
While canvassing for 'Stan the man' I was awakened to a string of interesting and poleasant surprises. During the 4 hour canvass people were very pleased with Stan's performance while serving as their M.P.. Only two households refused to accept Stan's handshake/campaign material.

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Last Updated 13 November 2000

© 2000 Milton Chan
This site is maintained by Milton Chan