|Garry Breitkreuz occupies the safest Alliance seat in Saskatchewan, and there is little to no chance that Parliament's foremost enemy of the astoundingly unpopular Liberal gun confiscation registry will lose.
|Breitkreuz was the only candidate to over 50% of the vote in Saskatchewan. There is no reason to think he won't get over 50% again. The CA will win big in Yorkton-Melville
|Traditional NDP country and incumnent won't be helped by days attitude
|Given how Breutkreuz did in '97, no wonder he gished Nystrom in '93. Though I feel that it's reading those 1997 numbers too literally to declare this as CA's "safest seat in Sask"; I still feel that the Alberta border seats and Souris-Moose Mountain are probably "safer". And opposition hopes might lie on this geographic inflection toward moderate Manitoba rather than conservative Alberta (with a bit of Nystrom memory tossed in). But Breutkreuz is safe *enough*, which is all that matters.
| Many "protest voters" who went NDP in the past will support Alliance in 2000. Gun-owners who were never politically active in the past will turn out in droves to vote for Garry Breitkreuz thanks to his efforts fighting Bill C-68 since 1995. He will also attract votes from the many farmers and social conservatives in the riding for his staunch, unflinching criticism of the federal Liberals regarding agriculture, criminal justice, and hot-button social issues.
|This riding, which has been NDP/Alliance territory since the 70's seems to be taking a turn for the worse. I hate to admit it, but the Liberals may have a chance here, with Ken Pilon. Pilon is a very respectable man, especially when it comes to the issues people want to hear about in this area. I live here, and I'll be voting Alliance, but I think this riding won't be as safe for Breitkreuz next election.