Canadian Federal Election Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction
Yukon

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:

Candidates:
Liberal Party:
Larry Bagnell
Canadian Alliance:
Jim Kenyon
Progressive Conservative Party:
Don Cox
New Democratic Party:
Louise Hardy
Independent:
Geoffrey Capp

Incumbent:
Louise Hardy

Previous Result:
21.95%
13.94%
25.26%
28.94%

Surrounding Ridings:


Misc:
Population: ?
Avg Household Income ?
Language (Home)
English ?
French ?
Submitted Information
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/TR>
10/10/00 Mike Parkes Email: mdparkes@msn.com
Louise Hardy of the NDP won this riding with less than 30% of the vote in a tight four way race. She could be re-elected here, but if the second place Reformers, now Alliance, keep their act together, Hardy will lose.
16/10/00 L.O. Email: sprockley@hotmail.com
Gun control hit the North really hard. The election of Pat Duncan and the ousting of the NDP government in the Yukon last year are a sign of things to come for Louise.
16/10/00 Mike O'Brien Email: mic_collins_2000@yahoo.com
Too close. Ken MacKinnon put on a good fight for the PC's (given their situation) last time around. If he tries again - he may find additional support in the territorial Duncan Liberal governemnt (Duncan used to be EA for long time tory and Yukon mp [1957-1988] Erik Neilsen). The Alliance Also had a very strong candidate her e- I believe he had something to do with law enforcement...VERY close.
25/10/00 Richard Email:
NDP keep. Gun control is a big issue, but I don't see natives going behind the Alliance who as the Reform party fillibustered over the Nisga treaty. Hardy is an Aboriginal MP who should be able to overcome her challengers on election day.
26/10/00 A.S. EMAIL: adma@interlog.com
Audrey McLaughlin's heir, whose low-mandate victory against a cluttered slate (including an independent ex-Grit) can, of course, be attributed to coattail magic. The Alliance is eager to strike north along the Alaska Highway, and they might do it; but in such a remote riding, where localism can outflank national trends, just "being there" helps Hardy. And remember, too; this is the Mount Logan/Trudeau riding. Hardy's spoken out on the issue. That's good.
26/10/00 A. Email:
Hardy is not aboriginal, but has very strong ties to aboriginal communities. She has been a strong MP and will likely be re-elected, with the help of First Nations and mining communities. The Whitehorse vote will be split several ways.
03/11/00 Michael Ensley Email:Mensley@yahoo.com
This race is between the Alliance and the NDP. Those who vote to block the alliance will vote NDP in order to do so. Also, Alexa tooked her leaders tour to the Yukon and in recongition that we need this seat on eday to have 12 for party status. So, IMHO SV will benefit us here unlike Ontario where it will kill us.
19/11/00 J Email:
Probably too close to call, but with a recent poll giving Bagnell a five per cent lead over Hardy, along with the Liberal win territorially show this could go Liberal for the first time in over 40 years. This, without a doubt, will be a three-way dance. Anybody who says it is just between the ALliance and the Libs is not paying attention to this riding. Will come right down to the wire. Kenyon will be hurt by Tory Don Cox who has lived and worked around the Yukon for 40 years.
20/11/00 BH Email:harris@yukon.net
Louise Hardy has been a non-entity in Ottawa and can't assume an easy win here at all. While gun control is an issue for Yukoners it is associated with the Prime Minister more than with the party. Larry has been seen to work very hard indeed on Yukoners behalfs and could very well take some votes away from Louise. Remember that we had a conservative MP for a great many years. Yukoners are still a little conservative at heart.
23/11/00 Dave Johnson Email:
I think this riding will stay NDP as it has for the past 11 years. Louise Hardy will have the support of the Aboriginal vote, and the right wing will split between Tories and the Alliance.
23/11/00 Dave Johnson Email:
I think this riding will stay NDP as it has for the past 11 years. Louise Hardy will have the support of the Aboriginal vote, and the right wing will split between Tories and the Alliance.
23/11/00 Dave Johnson Email:
I think this riding will stay NDP as it has for the past 11 years. Louise Hardy will have the support of the Aboriginal vote, and the right wing will split between Tories and the Alliance.
26/11/00 GJJ Email:
I would caution anyone to put much stock in the polling results that were released just over a week ago. It roughly indicated that Bagnell was at 36%, Hardy at 31% and Kenyon at 25%. However, it also had a huge margin of error of 6% and stated that 43% of the Yukon electorate was still undecided. Essentially, it is still a very tight three-way race. The most fascinating element of the Yukon campaign is to speculate about where the votes cast for Branigan in 1997 will go as well as the a portion of McKinnon's Conservative suppport. Their combined total probably equates to about 25%. I speculate that the Branigan vote will roughly split between the NDP and the Liberals while the Conservative vote for Don Cox will drop to approximately 7 or 8% with the 1997 balance going to the Canadian Alliance. At the same time, I am hearing a good deal of disgruntlement against the territorial Liberals as the local economy continues to stagnate and much disatisfaction with the performance of the current MP. Despite previous gaffes as a potential Yukon Party candidate, Kenyon seemed to perform fairly well in the debates and will have strong support in the communities of Faro, Watson Lake, Dawson City and the neighbourhoods of Porter Creek in Whitehorse. It will very tight but I predict that Kenyon will win with a margin of less than 400 votes.

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Last Updated 27 November 2000

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