Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Reading West

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Martin J. Salter
Conservative Party:
Stephen H. Reid
Liberal Democratic Party:
Polly Martin
UK Independence Party:
David M. Black

Incumbent:
Martin Salter

97 Result:
Martin Salter
21,84145.1%
Nicholas Bennett
18,84438.9%
Dee Tomlin
6,15312.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,38970.05%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
15,25628.7%
27,88852.4%
9,46117.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,24377.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.6%
16-2413.7%
25-3924.5%
40-6525.2%
65 <15.0%

Ethnic Origin:
White93.9%
Black3.2%
Indian/Pakistani1.8%
Other non-white1.1%

Employment:
Full Time67.1%
Part Time15.4%
Self Employed10.5%
Government Schemes0.5%
Unemployed6.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional9.0%
II - Managerial/Technical29.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)28.6%
IV - Partly Skilled11.2%
V - Unskilled5.5%

Misc:
Own Residence72.9%
Rent Residence25.7%
Own Car(s)72.9%
Submissions
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21/04/01 JR Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net
Labour have done very well in local elections in Reading in the last few years, bucking the national trend where seats won at the nadir of Tory unpopularity were lost in their hundreds. Martin Salter is an independent-minded, populist MP and I think Labour could increase their majority in this one.

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Last Updated 23 April 2001
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