Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Basildon

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Angela E. Smith
Conservative Party:
Dominic Schofield
Liberal Democratic Party:
Jane C.G. Smithard
UK Independence Party:
Frank Mallon

Incumbent:
Angela Smith

97 Result:
Angela Smith
29,64655.8%
John Baron
16,36630.8%
Terry Marsh
4,6088.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,08271.74%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
24,64540.7%
27,29145.1%
8,59914.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
60,53579.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.8%
16-2413.9%
25-3922.6%
40-6527.2%
65 <14.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.9%
Black0.6%
Indian/Pakistani0.7%
Other non-white0.8%

Employment:
Full Time64.5%
Part Time14.6%
Self Employed10.6%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed9.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.9%
II - Managerial/Technical24.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)16.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)32.2%
IV - Partly Skilled17.8%
V - Unskilled4.6%

Misc:
Own Residence65.7%
Rent Residence33.3%
Own Car(s)72.3%
Submissions
Submit Information here

25/04/01 JR Email:
The capital of 'Sun Country' (highest Sun readership in Britain), and home of Essex Man, will stay Labour. Angela Smith's 13500 majority is larger than several long-established Labour seats. BBC2's Newsnight programme visited swing voters in Basildon during the party conference season, and found no movement back towards the Tories except for a lone refugee from the Referendum Party.
23/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
The eternal belwether to beat all belwethers. At this point, because guessing the winner's pretty well a no-brainer, it's more worthwhile to preoccupy oneself with swottier stuff, like the direction and degree of the swing...
28/05/01 SG Email:
Dick Duane (Socialist Alliance) is also standing and the Lib Dem candidate in 97 was eventually Lindsay Granshaw, not Terry Marsh who withdrew amid news reports which disappeared after the election.

Submit Information here
Back to Eastern Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 28 May 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster