Election Prediction Project
British General Election
Brentwood and Ongar

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Labour Party:
Diana R. Johnson
Conservative Party:
Eric J. Pickles
Liberal Democratic Party:
David Kendall
UK Independence Party:
Christopher Sherwin
Martin Bell

Eric Pickles

97 Result:
Marc Young
Eric Pickles
Elizabeth Bottoml
Total Vote Count / Turnout

92 Result: (Redistributed)
Total Vote Count / Turnout

Demographic Profile:
< 1617.9%
65 <19.0%

Ethnic Origin:
Other non-white0.9%

Full Time64.4%
Part Time14.9%
Self Employed14.4%
Government Schemes0.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional8.4%
II - Managerial/Technical45.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)19.0%
IV - Partly Skilled7.3%
V - Unskilled3.6%

Own Residence77.3%
Rent Residence20.4%
Own Car(s)81.4%
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12/04/01 Martin Coule Email:martincoule@yahoo.co.uk
Diana Johnson, the Labour candidate for this election has reason to be upbeat about this election. The addition of an Independent Conservative candidate Martin Bell has the potential to split the Conservative vote. The Liberal Democrats have lost much of their former popularity due to their lacklustre performance on the local council. Eric Pickles, while courting the members of the Peniel Church has done little to endear himself to ordinary electors. A very interesting election!
18/04/01 NG Email:
Brentwood and Ongar will be a fascinating contest and it is fair to say that it could go any of four or five ways. Martin Bell's decision to stand as an Independent will undoubtedly win votes and will almost certainly split the Tories votes. But it somehow seems unlikely that he will win enough votes to take the seat on this occasion. Labour, despite a good candidate, probably peaked in 1997 and it is not clear whether the Liberal Democrats will be able to summon up reserves of strength to prevent Martin Bell from stealing a number of their voters while using the opportunity of the Bell candidacy to steal ahead. Not as simple as a Labour/Tory marginal as any party could theoretically win. One that will have to be seen to be believed!
21/04/01 EQFB Email:eqfbrown@hotmail.com
Brentwood & Ongar will not be a very interesting seat, I don't believe that Martin Bell will stand, and if he does, he will be more likely to take votes from Labour and the Liberals than the Tories. The Conservative majority was large last time, the LIberals are declining locally, and Labour has no chance - the Tories will certainly win this by a big margin.
14/05/01 J. P. Email:
What rubbish about the Lib Dems lacklustre council performance. The Lib Dems continue to make gains on the Council (from the Tories, and will out poll Labour. Hardly squares with te so called "poor" record on the Council . However, Bell's intervention will ensure Pickles is re-elected !
15/05/01 JB Email:
Now that Martin Bell has confirmed his candidacy, he must be ranked as favourite for this seat, as his squeaky-clean image and refreshingly honest approach have a unique appeal to the electorate. By contrast, the incumbant, Pickles, has been a lacklustre performer as Tory Social Security Spokesman and has won few friends in the constituency. I suspect Bell will draw the majority of his support from traditional Conservative voters, so if he fails to win, he could lay the way open for the Liberal Democrats, who were second here last time, and are strong in Local Governemnt here.

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Last Updated 7 June 2001
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