Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Cambridge

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Anne Campbell
Conservative Party:
Graham Stuart
Liberal Democratic Party:
David Howarth
Green Party:
Stephen Lawrence
UK Independence Party:
Leonard Baines
Socialist Alliance:
Howard Senter

Incumbent:
Mrs Anne Campbell

97 Result:
Anne Campbell
27,43653.4%
Martin Humphrys
13,29925.9%
Geoffrey Heathcoc
8,28716.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,33971.63%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
20,03939.7%
19,45938.5%
10,03719.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,51373.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1617.1%
16-2415.0%
25-3925.4%
40-6523.5%
65 <18.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White93.9%
Black1.2%
Indian/Pakistani1.8%
Other non-white3.0%

Employment:
Full Time66.3%
Part Time15.5%
Self Employed10.0%
Government Schemes0.6%
Unemployed7.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional16.7%
II - Managerial/Technical31.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)18.8%
IV - Partly Skilled12.0%
V - Unskilled5.9%

Misc:
Own Residence52.9%
Rent Residence45.1%
Own Car(s)63.1%
Submissions
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18/04/01 NG Email:
Cambridge looks like an easy Labour hold and, having won it back in 1992, it will almost certainly stay Labour. But will the Tories retain their second position or will it become part of a number of three-way seats. In local elections, the Liberal Democrats have edged ahead of Labour and the Tories have not really seen much of a revival. Although they appear to be in a slightly stronger position than the Lib Dems for the general election, could Cambridge end up going the way of Bristol West, Cardiff South and Birmingham Yardley and see the Lib Dems become the major challengers to Labour this time round. Hard to predict.
20/05/01 CK Email:
Bear in mind the volatility of the student vote (some 20,000). Anne Campbell has a poor record amongst students after voting in favour of introducing tuition fees. Not enough to tip the scales, though; the local Conservative organisation has fallen apart, with only 1 out of the 12 council wards going Tory. An interesting fight for second place from the locally strong Lib Dems.

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Last Updated 20 May 2001
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