Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Huntingdon

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Takki E. Sulaiman
Conservative Party:
Jonathan S. Djanogly
Liberal Democratic Party:
Michael Pope
UK Independence Party:
Derek Norman

Incumbent:
Rt Hon John Major CH

97 Result:
Jason Rece
13,36123.5%
John Major
31,50155.3%
Matthew Owen
8,39014.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,96374.86%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
8,23414.5%
34,12460.0%
12,15321.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,85379.6%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.7%
16-2413.8%
25-3924.0%
40-6526.8%
65 <13.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.4%
Black1.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.7%
Other non-white0.8%

Employment:
Full Time68.7%
Part Time14.6%
Self Employed10.0%
Government Schemes1.0%
Unemployed5.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional8.0%
II - Managerial/Technical35.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)10.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)22.5%
IV - Partly Skilled12.4%
V - Unskilled2.8%

Misc:
Own Residence71.8%
Rent Residence23.4%
Own Car(s)80.7%
Submissions
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09/04/01 EP Email:
Although Major is not seeking re-election, this riding will remain in Tory's hands with its rich Tory history. However, the Tories will have a tough time finding someone that is as honourable and respectable as the Prime Minister to uphold the banner.
22/05/01 Alastair Matlock Email:
Mr. Major had a majority of something like 18,000 in 1997, in what was the worst Tory election result in well over a century. Some of that margin can be attributed to the Prime Minister's personal popularity and integrity, but Huntingdon is a safe constituency for any Tory. Conservative Hold.
22/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
It may be an interesting academic exercise to speculate what might have happened here in 1997 had it *not* been John Major's constituency; perhaps, like many of its quasi-(sub)urban outer-London-overspill cohorts, it could have been unexpectedly reduced to a technical C-Lab marginal. But it didn't happen, and however one might wish, keep in mind that it'd take a Portilloesque 16-percent swing for Labour to take Huntingdon...

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Last Updated 23 May 2001
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