Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Ipswich

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Jamie C. Cann
Conservative Party:
W. Edward Wild
Liberal Democratic Party:
Peter Leech
UK Independence Party:
William J. Vinyard

Incumbent:
Jamie Cann

97 Result:
Jamie Cann
25,48452.7%
Stephen Castle
15,04531.1%
Nigel Roberts
5,88112.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,36272.24%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
23,62343.9%
23,28843.3%
6,13511.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,81579.0%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.5%
16-2413.1%
25-3922.4%
40-6524.2%
65 <19.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White95.3%
Black2.5%
Indian/Pakistani1.1%
Other non-white1.0%

Employment:
Full Time64.3%
Part Time17.2%
Self Employed8.6%
Government Schemes1.2%
Unemployed8.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.0%
II - Managerial/Technical25.8%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.5%
IV - Partly Skilled14.2%
V - Unskilled5.7%

Misc:
Own Residence63.1%
Rent Residence35.7%
Own Car(s)64.1%
Submissions
Submit Information here

12/05/01 J Smith Email:
The Tories lost too much ground in Ipswich last time to win this seat this time. Labour should hold this seat come election night.
14/05/01 Paul R Davis Email:
Since 1970, Ipswich has consistently produced swings which are lower than average (Oct.1974:1983:1992) or against the national trend (Feb 1974:1979:1987) In 1997 the swing was almost identical to the national. The Liberals are weak here. Labour has controlled Ipswich District Council for over twenty years. The Suffolk people are a (c)onservative people, not given to volatile behaviour of any type. With the opinion polls now showing as they are, it is inconceivable that the Conservatives can fashion the 10.8% swing they would need to take the seat.

Submit Information here
Back to Eastern Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 14 May 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster