Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
North East Cambridgeshire

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Dil Owen
Conservative Party:
Malcolm D. Moss
Liberal Democratic Party:
Richard Renaut
UK Independence Party:
John Stevens

Incumbent:
Malcolm Moss

97 Result:
Virginia Bucknor
18,75433.8%
Malcolm Moss
23,85543.0%
Andrew Nash
9,07016.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,42572.87%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
7,92813.6%
31,16853.5%
18,00730.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
58,23979.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.3%
16-2411.7%
25-3920.6%
40-6527.6%
65 <20.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.2%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.3%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time61.6%
Part Time14.5%
Self Employed14.9%
Government Schemes1.0%
Unemployed8.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.5%
II - Managerial/Technical27.5%
III - Skilled (non-manual)10.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)34.0%
IV - Partly Skilled18.5%
V - Unskilled4.0%

Misc:
Own Residence73.8%
Rent Residence23.7%
Own Car(s)77.2%
Submissions
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07/05/01 Pseudonym 'Disraeli' Email:
Given that in 1997 tactical voting failed to displace the Conservative candidate who won comfortably, it suggests that this seat is likely to remain resolutely Tory.
09/05/01 Alex Macfie Email:alex@flagboy.demon.co.uk
This seat held by the Liberals for many years, however that seems to have been a personal vote for the then MP, Clement Freud. He lost narrowly to the Tories in 1987, and in 1992, when he didn't stand, the seat reverted dramatically to what it had been before the by-election in which Freud first won (in 1973?): a safe Tory seat. It is likely that it will remain Tory at this coming election, unless there is a strong drive to tactical anti-Tory voting. But that is unlikely given that there is no obvious challenger.

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Last Updated 9 May 2001
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