Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Rayleigh

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Paul J. Clark
Conservative Party:
Mark G. Francois
Liberal Democratic Party:
Geoffrey Williams

Incumbent:
Dr Michael Clark

97 Result:
Raymond Ellis
14,83228.9%
Michael Clark
25,51649.7%
Sid Cumberland
10,13719.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,31474.65%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
8,03214.8%
33,06561.1%
11,86821.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,11780.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.3%
16-2411.9%
25-3921.5%
40-6529.4%
65 <15.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.8%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.4%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time63.3%
Part Time16.4%
Self Employed13.9%
Government Schemes0.7%
Unemployed5.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.0%
II - Managerial/Technical37.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)16.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)27.2%
IV - Partly Skilled8.3%
V - Unskilled3.0%

Misc:
Own Residence89.8%
Rent Residence8.9%
Own Car(s)83.5%
Submissions
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14/05/01 J Smith Email:
This riding bucked the trend last time and returned a Conservative to Westminister. Though they will probably lose some support this time, but should be able to hold it on election day.

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Last Updated 17 May 2001
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