Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
South Suffolk

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Marc C. Young
Conservative Party:
Timothy S.K. Yeo
Liberal Democratic Party:
Tessa Munt
UK Independence Party:
Derek Allen

Incumbent:
Tim Yeo

97 Result:
Paul Bishop
15,22729.3%
Tim Yeo
19,40237.3%
Kathy Pollard
14,39527.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,97577.20%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
11,50421.8%
27,03651.3%
13,82826.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,68780.6%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.8%
16-2412.1%
25-3919.3%
40-6528.7%
65 <20.0%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.3%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time60.7%
Part Time17.0%
Self Employed15.8%
Government Schemes0.7%
Unemployed5.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional8.0%
II - Managerial/Technical36.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)11.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)26.9%
IV - Partly Skilled12.2%
V - Unskilled4.0%

Misc:
Own Residence73.8%
Rent Residence22.8%
Own Car(s)79.8%
Submissions
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14/05/01 J Smith Email:
This should be an interesting 3 way race between Labour, Conservatives and Liberal Democrats. Each party has an equal chance of winning here and based on previous results, it is too hard to predict the winner this early.
03/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Another case of the tactical short-circuit (cf. Bridgwater, Folkestone & Hythe), this being one where Labour assumed LD's nominal 2nd-place position. And given Tim Yeo's sex-scandal shenanigans in the previous parliament (ah, the John Major era, what memories...), it must have left the anti-Tory forces crestfallen that they couldn't take out *this* "live one". Well, now that they know from experience, what a tempting get-it-right-this-time target Yeo is...
05/06/01 Brian D Smith Email:
I think the tactical message is getting through to Labour people, though. The tacticalvoter.net web site has a strong recommendation for people to vote Lib Dem. The Labour man appears from press reports to be getting increasingly desperate. His cause won't be helped by the rubbishing he got in the Guardian national newspaper last week from Polly Toynbee, a respected columnist.
06/06/01 JL Email:
Yeo's indiscretions may have hit hime last time, but that's history. After a shaky start, he had good TV coverage on F & M, and clearly knows his stuff which local farmers will respect. Even if the Labour candidate has suffered a bad press it's dangerous to think his machine will let people forget his party came second last time. I reckon Yeo will slip through, unless the Tories get hammered generally.

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Last Updated 7 June 2001
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