Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Brentford and Isleworth

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Ann L. Keen
Conservative Party:
Tim Mack
Liberal Democratic Party:
Gareth G. Hartwell
UK Independence Party:
George Lawrie

Incumbent:
Ann Keen

97 Result:
Ann Keen
32,24957.4%
Nirj Deva
17,82531.8%
Gareth Hartwell
4,6138.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,13571.00%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
25,31942.8%
26,99445.6%
5,96210.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,17974.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.5%
16-2413.5%
25-3927.0%
40-6525.0%
65 <16.0%

Ethnic Origin:
White77.9%
Black3.3%
Indian/Pakistani13.8%
Other non-white4.9%

Employment:
Full Time69.5%
Part Time9.6%
Self Employed11.4%
Government Schemes0.8%
Unemployed8.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional10.2%
II - Managerial/Technical38.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)17.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)19.3%
IV - Partly Skilled9.1%
V - Unskilled3.2%

Misc:
Own Residence61.0%
Rent Residence37.5%
Own Car(s)65.9%
Submissions
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14/05/01 Initial Email:
Of all the Labour seats gained from the Tories in 1997, this one gave Labour the biggest majority - over 14,000. It seems unlikely that the Tories are strong enough to win this back at this election, and the long-term demographics of this seat are against. Ironically the previous Tory incumbent was their only Asian MP, but the large Labour-voting Asian community here did not save him.

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Last Updated 17 May 2001
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