Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Croydon North

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Malcolm H. Wicks
Conservative Party:
Simon Allison
Liberal Democratic Party:
Sandra J. Lawman
UK Independence Party:
Kathleen Garner

Incumbent:
Malcolm Wicks

97 Result:
Malcolm Wicks
32,67262.2%
Ian Martin
14,27427.2%
Martin Morris
4,0667.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,56368.21%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
25,70544.4%
25,86544.7%
6,34010.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
57,91072.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.0%
16-2413.6%
25-3927.5%
40-6523.9%
65 <15.0%

Ethnic Origin:
White69.2%
Black14.2%
Indian/Pakistani11.2%
Other non-white5.4%

Employment:
Full Time68.3%
Part Time9.7%
Self Employed10.1%
Government Schemes1.0%
Unemployed10.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.6%
II - Managerial/Technical31.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)20.7%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.3%
IV - Partly Skilled11.6%
V - Unskilled3.6%

Misc:
Own Residence68.8%
Rent Residence29.9%
Own Car(s)62.8%
Submissions
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05/05/01 LB Email:l
Croydon North is an ethnically mixed half-way out London suburb of the sort which has been trending to Labour for 20-30 years and it had an enormous swing in 1997 which removed it from marginal status. Once upon a time the Liberals held it (1981-83) after a by-election but their support has dissipated and they have no councillors. Labour held Croydon council well in 1998.

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Last Updated 7 MAy 2001
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