Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Ealing, Acton and Shepherd's Bush

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Clive S. Soley
Conservative Party:
Justine Greening
Liberal Democratic Party:
Martin Tod

Incumbent:
Clive Soley

97 Result:
Clive Soley
28,05258.4%
Barbara Yerolemou
12,40525.8%
Andrew Mitchell
5,16310.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,06466.68%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
23,02446.4%
19,55339.4%
5,99812.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,66272.7%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.0%
16-2413.5%
25-3928.7%
40-6524.0%
65 <15.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White75.9%
Black12.1%
Indian/Pakistani5.4%
Other non-white6.6%

Employment:
Full Time65.7%
Part Time8.3%
Self Employed11.0%
Government Schemes1.2%
Unemployed13.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.3%
II - Managerial/Technical39.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)17.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)16.5%
IV - Partly Skilled10.6%
V - Unskilled4.6%

Misc:
Own Residence46.5%
Rent Residence51.8%
Own Car(s)50.6%
Submissions
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24/05/01 LB Email:
EASB was a new seat in 1997, formed from most of the old Ealing Acton seat (Tory) and part of Hammersmith (Labour). It is a nondescript area of west London dissected by railways and main roads and has a fair share of council housing estates and run down (though gentrifying) terraces. It is racially mixed. The best areas of Tory Acton were sliced off and put in the other two Ealing seats, and Labour's best areas of Hammersmith are here, so EASB should be Labour in all foreseeable circumstances.

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Last Updated 27 May 2001
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