Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Edmonton

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Andrew M. Love
Conservative Party:
David J.B. Burrowes
Liberal Democratic Party:
Douglas Taylor
UK Independence Party:
Gwyneth W. Rolph

Incumbent:
Andrew Love

97 Result:
Andy Love
27,02960.3%
Ian Twinn
13,55730.2%
Andrew Wiseman
2,8476.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
44,83870.37%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
21,48345.0%
22,07646.3%
3,9408.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
47,70674.6%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.3%
16-2412.9%
25-3924.4%
40-6524.6%
65 <16.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White79.9%
Black11.3%
Indian/Pakistani4.6%
Other non-white4.2%

Employment:
Full Time63.8%
Part Time11.5%
Self Employed10.7%
Government Schemes1.3%
Unemployed12.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.4%
II - Managerial/Technical24.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)18.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.5%
IV - Partly Skilled14.7%
V - Unskilled4.0%

Misc:
Own Residence69.9%
Rent Residence29.3%
Own Car(s)62.5%
Submissions
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11/05/01 LB Email:
Edmonton is a working class area of north London; it was treated as a critical marginal last time as it was an improbable Tory seat from 1983 to 1997 but there was an enormous Labour swing in 1997 and nobody will be looking out for any change here in 2001. Labour has led in all mid term elections since 1997. Labour previously held it from 1935 to 1983 and it would be a massive shock if their current term ended after 4 years.

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Last Updated 12 May 2001
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