Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Eltham

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Clive S. Efford
Conservative Party:
Sharon M. Massey
Liberal Democratic Party:
Martin Morris

Incumbent:
Clive Efford

97 Result:
Clive Efford
23,71054.6%
Clive Blackwood
13,52831.2%
Amanda Taylor
3,7018.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,42875.71%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
18,60440.1%
20,38443.9%
7,21315.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
46,39976.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.4%
16-2412.2%
25-3921.3%
40-6526.1%
65 <20.0%

Ethnic Origin:
White92.3%
Black2.8%
Indian/Pakistani2.7%
Other non-white2.1%

Employment:
Full Time64.1%
Part Time13.9%
Self Employed10.4%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed10.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.8%
II - Managerial/Technical29.8%
III - Skilled (non-manual)19.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)26.1%
IV - Partly Skilled11.8%
V - Unskilled4.9%

Misc:
Own Residence60.4%
Rent Residence38.3%
Own Car(s)64.1%
Submissions
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05/05/01 LB Email:
Labour led by 4.6% in the 1999 Euro elections and 2.1% in the GLA election in 2000, two bad performances for the party. If the Conservatives couldn't win on either of those occasions they are unlikely to break through in 2001, despite the seat's status as a Tory held marginal from a 1975 by-election gain until sitting MP Peter Bottomley relocated to Worthing in 1997.

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Last Updated 7 May 2001
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