Election Profile:
Candidates:
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Labour Party: Rt. Hon. Frank G. Dobson |
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Conservative Party: Roseanne Serelli |
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Liberal Democratic Party: Nathaniel J. Green |
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UK Independence Party: Magnus Nielsen-Bewick |
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Green Party: Robert E. Whitley |
Incumbent: |
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Rt Hon Frank Dobson |
97 Result: |
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Frank Dobson
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Julian Smith
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Justine McGuinnes
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Total Vote Count / Turnout |
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92 Result: (Redistributed) |
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Total Vote Count / Turnout |
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Demographic Profile:
Age: |
< 16 | 17.5% |
16-24 | 13.2% |
25-39 | 28.0% |
40-65 | 24.4% |
65 < | 16.9% |
Ethnic Origin: |
White | 79.3% |
Black | 6.1% |
Indian/Pakistani | 8.2% |
Other non-white | 6.4% |
Employment: |
Full Time | 60.8% |
Part Time | 9.1% |
Self Employed | 12.7% |
Government Schemes | 1.7% |
Unemployed | 15.8% |
Household SEG: |
I - Professional | 10.6% |
II - Managerial/Technical | 35.1% |
III - Skilled (non-manual) | 15.7% |
IIIM - Skilled (manual) | 15.0% |
IV - Partly Skilled | 11.6% |
V - Unskilled | 6.0% |
Misc: |
Own Residence | 24.1% |
Rent Residence | 73.1% |
Own Car(s) | 35.6% |
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Submissions
Submit Information here
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25/04/01 |
DH |
Email: |
"Dobbo" has held this seat since 1979 - whatever the Tory revival (if indeed there is one) he will be safe here. |
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22/05/01 |
JL |
Email: |
Yes, Dobbo will win - will the sun rise tomorrow? The only issue is the effect is virtual disappearance from the political scene since his disastrous defeat in the Mayoral election will have on the Labour vote, and how much the Tory support will also slide. With these factors and a June poll certain to affect the normally low student turnout - 7000 + students are on the register - apparent voter turnout is likely to be exceptionally low. |
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03/06/01 |
JL |
Email:John.lefley@btinternet.com |
Expect a surprise, with a complete collapse of the Tory vote, and LibDems easily achieving second place. Dobbo will be well ahead, but his majority could be sharply cut by abstentions and some left-leaning former supporters switching to the SocAllce. |
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