Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Lewisham West

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
James P. Dowd
Conservative Party:
Gareth A. Johnson
Liberal Democratic Party:
Richard K. Thomas

Incumbent:
Jim Dowd

97 Result:
Jim Dowd
23,27362.0%
Clare Whelan
8,93623.8%
Kathy McGrath
3,6729.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
37,54464.00%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
20,37847.0%
18,56942.8%
4,2959.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,36772.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.5%
16-2413.0%
25-3926.7%
40-6523.0%
65 <17.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White81.3%
Black13.7%
Indian/Pakistani1.9%
Other non-white3.1%

Employment:
Full Time65.8%
Part Time10.3%
Self Employed10.0%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed13.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.3%
II - Managerial/Technical33.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)20.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)22.3%
IV - Partly Skilled11.1%
V - Unskilled3.3%

Misc:
Own Residence54.3%
Rent Residence44.4%
Own Car(s)56.8%
Submissions
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08/05/01 Paul R davis Email:
Has only been won by the Conservatives twice in 31 years. On each of these occasions the conservatives won the general Election with a majority of over 100 Seats. In 1997, Labour poled 62% of the vote. Liberal vote has never exceeded 17% here.

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Last Updated 9 May 2001
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